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Sports·Games

Italian Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap

icon for Italian Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap
Sports·Games

Italian Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap

Pierre Gasly 81%

Alexander Albon 81%

Gabriel Bortoleto 81%

Liam Lawson 80%

Polymarket
NEW

Pierre Gasly 81%

Alexander Albon 81%

Gabriel Bortoleto 81%

Liam Lawson 80%

Polymarket
NEW

Pierre Gasly

$0 Vol.

81%

Alexander Albon

$0 Vol.

81%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$0 Vol.

81%

Liam Lawson

$0 Vol.

80%

Fernando Alonso

$0 Vol.

79%

Sergio Perez

$0 Vol.

79%

Esteban Ocon

$0 Vol.

79%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$0 Vol.

79%

Nico Hulkenberg

$0 Vol.

79%

Valtteri Bottas

$0 Vol.

79%

Franco Colapinto

$0 Vol.

79%

Oliver Bearman

$0 Vol.

79%

Arvid Lindblad

$0 Vol.

79%

Isack Hadjar

$0 Vol.

79%

Lance Stroll

$0 Vol.

79%

Lando Norris

$0 Vol.

18%

George Russell

$0 Vol.

17%

Lewis Hamilton

$0 Vol.

12%

Charles Leclerc

$0 Vol.

11%

Oscar Piastri

$0 Vol.

6%

Max Verstappen

$32 Vol.

38%

Kimi Antonelli

$13 Vol.

48%

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.At Monza, the Italian Grand Prix fastest-lap market remains tightly bunched because the Temple of Speed’s long straights, low-downforce setups, and active-aero rules in 2026 reward straight-line pace and late soft-tire stints more than consistent race leaders. Kimi Antonelli tops implied probabilities after leading the championship and claiming six fastest laps this season, yet his home-race engine penalty and midfield traffic open the door for clean-air runners such as Alexander Albon, Oliver Bearman, and Esteban Ocon. Recent Dutch GP data showed comparable degradation across Mercedes, Ferrari, and McLaren, underscoring how one opportunistic flyer on fresh rubber can decide the outcome among a broad group of contenders rather than the front-running favorites.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.

If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$45
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.At Monza, the Italian Grand Prix fastest-lap market remains tightly bunched because the Temple of Speed’s long straights, low-downforce setups, and active-aero rules in 2026 reward straight-line pace and late soft-tire stints more than consistent race leaders. Kimi Antonelli tops implied probabilities after leading the championship and claiming six fastest laps this season, yet his home-race engine penalty and midfield traffic open the door for clean-air runners such as Alexander Albon, Oliver Bearman, and Esteban Ocon. Recent Dutch GP data showed comparable degradation across Mercedes, Ferrari, and McLaren, underscoring how one opportunistic flyer on fresh rubber can decide the outcome among a broad group of contenders rather than the front-running favorites.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.

If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$45
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Italian Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 48%, followed by "Pierre Gasly" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Italian Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pierre Gasly" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.