**Manny Rutinel, the progressive state representative who won the Democratic primary in late June, faces Republican incumbent Gabe Evans in the November 3 general election for Colorado’s 8th congressional district.** The seat has changed hands in each of the past two cycles by margins under 2 points, with Evans flipping it from Democrat Yadira Caraveo in 2024. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, citing the district’s northern Denver suburbs, Greeley area, and roughly 40% Hispanic population as key battlegrounds. Midterm dynamics under a Republican administration, combined with the district’s slight Democratic tilt in recent presidential voting, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 72.5%. Evans remains unopposed on the Republican side, but the race’s fundamentals and historical volatility keep the outcome tightly contested.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-08 House Election Winner
CO-08 House Election Winner
$15,208 Vol.
$15,208 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
73%
Republican Party
24%
$15,208 Vol.
$15,208 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,003 Vol.
73%
Republican Party
$7,205 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Manny Rutinel, the progressive state representative who won the Democratic primary in late June, faces Republican incumbent Gabe Evans in the November 3 general election for Colorado’s 8th congressional district.** The seat has changed hands in each of the past two cycles by margins under 2 points, with Evans flipping it from Democrat Yadira Caraveo in 2024. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, citing the district’s northern Denver suburbs, Greeley area, and roughly 40% Hispanic population as key battlegrounds. Midterm dynamics under a Republican administration, combined with the district’s slight Democratic tilt in recent presidential voting, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 72.5%. Evans remains unopposed on the Republican side, but the race’s fundamentals and historical volatility keep the outcome tightly contested.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$15,208End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Manny Rutinel, the progressive state representative who won the Democratic primary in late June, faces Republican incumbent Gabe Evans in the November 3 general election for Colorado’s 8th congressional district.** The seat has changed hands in each of the past two cycles by margins under 2 points, with Evans flipping it from Democrat Yadira Caraveo in 2024. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, citing the district’s northern Denver suburbs, Greeley area, and roughly 40% Hispanic population as key battlegrounds. Midterm dynamics under a Republican administration, combined with the district’s slight Democratic tilt in recent presidential voting, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 72.5%. Evans remains unopposed on the Republican side, but the race’s fundamentals and historical volatility keep the outcome tightly contested.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,208End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Manny Rutinel, the progressive state representative who won the Democratic primary in late June, faces Republican incumbent Gabe Evans in the November 3 general election for Colorado’s 8th congressional district.** The seat has changed hands in each of the past two cycles by margins under 2 points, with Evans flipping it from Democrat Yadira Caraveo in 2024. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, citing the district’s northern Denver suburbs, Greeley area, and roughly 40% Hispanic population as key battlegrounds. Midterm dynamics under a Republican administration, combined with the district’s slight Democratic tilt in recent presidential voting, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 72.5%. Evans remains unopposed on the Republican side, but the race’s fundamentals and historical volatility keep the outcome tightly contested.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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