Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank holds a clear edge in Colorado's 5th Congressional District, where the R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus at 71%. Crank, who won the seat in 2024 with 54.7% of the vote, ran unopposed in the June 30 Republican primary. Democrat Jessica Killin emerged from her party's primary and has outraised the incumbent in some reports, prompting limited Democratic targeting, yet the district's Colorado Springs base and unaffiliated voter patterns continue to favor the GOP. Forecasters rate the November 3, 2026, general election as Likely Republican, aligning with current implied probabilities despite modest shifts in the district's partisan lean over the past decade.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-05 House Election Winner
CO-05 House Election Winner
$12,112 Vol.
$12,112 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
29%
$12,112 Vol.
$12,112 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$1,824 Vol.
71%
Democratic Party
$10,288 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank holds a clear edge in Colorado's 5th Congressional District, where the R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus at 71%. Crank, who won the seat in 2024 with 54.7% of the vote, ran unopposed in the June 30 Republican primary. Democrat Jessica Killin emerged from her party's primary and has outraised the incumbent in some reports, prompting limited Democratic targeting, yet the district's Colorado Springs base and unaffiliated voter patterns continue to favor the GOP. Forecasters rate the November 3, 2026, general election as Likely Republican, aligning with current implied probabilities despite modest shifts in the district's partisan lean over the past decade.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,112End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank holds a clear edge in Colorado's 5th Congressional District, where the R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus at 71%. Crank, who won the seat in 2024 with 54.7% of the vote, ran unopposed in the June 30 Republican primary. Democrat Jessica Killin emerged from her party's primary and has outraised the incumbent in some reports, prompting limited Democratic targeting, yet the district's Colorado Springs base and unaffiliated voter patterns continue to favor the GOP. Forecasters rate the November 3, 2026, general election as Likely Republican, aligning with current implied probabilities despite modest shifts in the district's partisan lean over the past decade.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,112End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank holds a clear edge in Colorado's 5th Congressional District, where the R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus at 71%. Crank, who won the seat in 2024 with 54.7% of the vote, ran unopposed in the June 30 Republican primary. Democrat Jessica Killin emerged from her party's primary and has outraised the incumbent in some reports, prompting limited Democratic targeting, yet the district's Colorado Springs base and unaffiliated voter patterns continue to favor the GOP. Forecasters rate the November 3, 2026, general election as Likely Republican, aligning with current implied probabilities despite modest shifts in the district's partisan lean over the past decade.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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