The commanding Democratic lead in Colorado's 1st congressional district reflects the seat's strong partisan composition and the outcome of the June 30, 2026, Democratic primary. Melat Kiros defeated longtime incumbent Diana DeGette, securing the nomination in a district with a D+29 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Palace, and others classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, with Republican nominee Christy Peterson facing minimal structural path to victory. Trader consensus prices this outcome at over 97 percent, consistent with the district's voting history and limited general election competitiveness. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unforeseen national shifts could theoretically alter probabilities before the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-01 House Election Winner
CO-01 House Election Winner
$43,003 Vol.
$43,003 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$43,003 Vol.
$43,003 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,953 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$26,050 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding Democratic lead in Colorado's 1st congressional district reflects the seat's strong partisan composition and the outcome of the June 30, 2026, Democratic primary. Melat Kiros defeated longtime incumbent Diana DeGette, securing the nomination in a district with a D+29 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Palace, and others classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, with Republican nominee Christy Peterson facing minimal structural path to victory. Trader consensus prices this outcome at over 97 percent, consistent with the district's voting history and limited general election competitiveness. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unforeseen national shifts could theoretically alter probabilities before the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$43,003End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding Democratic lead in Colorado's 1st congressional district reflects the seat's strong partisan composition and the outcome of the June 30, 2026, Democratic primary. Melat Kiros defeated longtime incumbent Diana DeGette, securing the nomination in a district with a D+29 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Palace, and others classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, with Republican nominee Christy Peterson facing minimal structural path to victory. Trader consensus prices this outcome at over 97 percent, consistent with the district's voting history and limited general election competitiveness. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unforeseen national shifts could theoretically alter probabilities before the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,003End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The commanding Democratic lead in Colorado's 1st congressional district reflects the seat's strong partisan composition and the outcome of the June 30, 2026, Democratic primary. Melat Kiros defeated longtime incumbent Diana DeGette, securing the nomination in a district with a D+29 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Palace, and others classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, with Republican nominee Christy Peterson facing minimal structural path to victory. Trader consensus prices this outcome at over 97 percent, consistent with the district's voting history and limited general election competitiveness. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unforeseen national shifts could theoretically alter probabilities before the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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