Arizona's 1st Congressional District features an open-seat contest following Republican incumbent David Schweikert's withdrawal to pursue the governorship. Democratic nominee Amish Shah, who previously challenged the seat, faces Republican nominee Jay Feely, a former NFL player and political outsider, in the November 3 general election after both won July primaries. The district carries a narrow partisan lean and has alternated in recent cycles, with analysts rating it a toss-up based on electoral math and voting patterns. Trader positioning favoring Democrats at current levels reflects the open-seat dynamics, primary outcomes, and broader midterm environment, though upcoming campaign developments, turnout efforts, and any late shifts in national conditions could alter the balance before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAZ-01 House Election Winner
AZ-01 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
75%
Republican Party
26%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,615 Vol.
75%
Republican Party
$1,120 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 1st Congressional District features an open-seat contest following Republican incumbent David Schweikert's withdrawal to pursue the governorship. Democratic nominee Amish Shah, who previously challenged the seat, faces Republican nominee Jay Feely, a former NFL player and political outsider, in the November 3 general election after both won July primaries. The district carries a narrow partisan lean and has alternated in recent cycles, with analysts rating it a toss-up based on electoral math and voting patterns. Trader positioning favoring Democrats at current levels reflects the open-seat dynamics, primary outcomes, and broader midterm environment, though upcoming campaign developments, turnout efforts, and any late shifts in national conditions could alter the balance before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
Volume
$6,736End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 1st Congressional District features an open-seat contest following Republican incumbent David Schweikert's withdrawal to pursue the governorship. Democratic nominee Amish Shah, who previously challenged the seat, faces Republican nominee Jay Feely, a former NFL player and political outsider, in the November 3 general election after both won July primaries. The district carries a narrow partisan lean and has alternated in recent cycles, with analysts rating it a toss-up based on electoral math and voting patterns. Trader positioning favoring Democrats at current levels reflects the open-seat dynamics, primary outcomes, and broader midterm environment, though upcoming campaign developments, turnout efforts, and any late shifts in national conditions could alter the balance before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,736End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 1st Congressional District features an open-seat contest following Republican incumbent David Schweikert's withdrawal to pursue the governorship. Democratic nominee Amish Shah, who previously challenged the seat, faces Republican nominee Jay Feely, a former NFL player and political outsider, in the November 3 general election after both won July primaries. The district carries a narrow partisan lean and has alternated in recent cycles, with analysts rating it a toss-up based on electoral math and voting patterns. Trader positioning favoring Democrats at current levels reflects the open-seat dynamics, primary outcomes, and broader midterm environment, though upcoming campaign developments, turnout efforts, and any late shifts in national conditions could alter the balance before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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