**Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated power as Syria’s transitional president through institutional steps and international engagement that reduce near-term removal risks.** In July 2026 he appointed the final lawmakers to complete a 210-member People’s Assembly, while recent months saw the full integration and dissolution of the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces into state structures. The United States formally removed Syria from its state sponsors of terrorism list on August 24, 2026, unlocking sanctions relief and investment that U.S. officials tied to al-Sharaa’s governance commitments. Parallel U.S.-mediated security talks with Israel and ongoing diplomacy with Russia, Turkey, and Arab states further signal external backing for continuity. Domestic polling from early 2026 showed majority approval of his performance, with no major verified challenges or opposition movements emerging in the past month that would alter the short timeline to December 31, 2026. Traders therefore price a strong consensus on continuity through the end of the year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
6% chance
$70,409 Vol.
$70,409 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
6% chance
$70,409 Vol.
$70,409 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated power as Syria’s transitional president through institutional steps and international engagement that reduce near-term removal risks.** In July 2026 he appointed the final lawmakers to complete a 210-member People’s Assembly, while recent months saw the full integration and dissolution of the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces into state structures. The United States formally removed Syria from its state sponsors of terrorism list on August 24, 2026, unlocking sanctions relief and investment that U.S. officials tied to al-Sharaa’s governance commitments. Parallel U.S.-mediated security talks with Israel and ongoing diplomacy with Russia, Turkey, and Arab states further signal external backing for continuity. Domestic polling from early 2026 showed majority approval of his performance, with no major verified challenges or opposition movements emerging in the past month that would alter the short timeline to December 31, 2026. Traders therefore price a strong consensus on continuity through the end of the year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
Volume
$70,409End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated power as Syria’s transitional president through institutional steps and international engagement that reduce near-term removal risks.** In July 2026 he appointed the final lawmakers to complete a 210-member People’s Assembly, while recent months saw the full integration and dissolution of the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces into state structures. The United States formally removed Syria from its state sponsors of terrorism list on August 24, 2026, unlocking sanctions relief and investment that U.S. officials tied to al-Sharaa’s governance commitments. Parallel U.S.-mediated security talks with Israel and ongoing diplomacy with Russia, Turkey, and Arab states further signal external backing for continuity. Domestic polling from early 2026 showed majority approval of his performance, with no major verified challenges or opposition movements emerging in the past month that would alter the short timeline to December 31, 2026. Traders therefore price a strong consensus on continuity through the end of the year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,409End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated power as Syria’s transitional president through institutional steps and international engagement that reduce near-term removal risks.** In July 2026 he appointed the final lawmakers to complete a 210-member People’s Assembly, while recent months saw the full integration and dissolution of the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces into state structures. The United States formally removed Syria from its state sponsors of terrorism list on August 24, 2026, unlocking sanctions relief and investment that U.S. officials tied to al-Sharaa’s governance commitments. Parallel U.S.-mediated security talks with Israel and ongoing diplomacy with Russia, Turkey, and Arab states further signal external backing for continuity. Domestic polling from early 2026 showed majority approval of his performance, with no major verified challenges or opposition movements emerging in the past month that would alter the short timeline to December 31, 2026. Traders therefore price a strong consensus on continuity through the end of the year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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