Ahmed al-Sharaa has served as Syria’s transitional president since his formal appointment on January 29, 2025, following the HTS-led overthrow of Bashar al-Assad, with a mandate covering a five-year period that extends well beyond the December 31, 2026, resolution date. Recent developments reinforcing trader consensus include his continued international engagement—such as the November 2025 White House meeting, UN addresses, and July 2026 statements on pursuing a security agreement with Israel—alongside efforts to integrate opposition forces like the SDF and stabilize governance. No major internal coups, widespread defections, or external interventions have emerged to threaten his position in the near term, supporting the 93% implied probability that he remains in office through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
7% chance
$69,746 Vol.
$69,746 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% chance
$69,746 Vol.
$69,746 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa has served as Syria’s transitional president since his formal appointment on January 29, 2025, following the HTS-led overthrow of Bashar al-Assad, with a mandate covering a five-year period that extends well beyond the December 31, 2026, resolution date. Recent developments reinforcing trader consensus include his continued international engagement—such as the November 2025 White House meeting, UN addresses, and July 2026 statements on pursuing a security agreement with Israel—alongside efforts to integrate opposition forces like the SDF and stabilize governance. No major internal coups, widespread defections, or external interventions have emerged to threaten his position in the near term, supporting the 93% implied probability that he remains in office through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
Volume
$69,746End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa has served as Syria’s transitional president since his formal appointment on January 29, 2025, following the HTS-led overthrow of Bashar al-Assad, with a mandate covering a five-year period that extends well beyond the December 31, 2026, resolution date. Recent developments reinforcing trader consensus include his continued international engagement—such as the November 2025 White House meeting, UN addresses, and July 2026 statements on pursuing a security agreement with Israel—alongside efforts to integrate opposition forces like the SDF and stabilize governance. No major internal coups, widespread defections, or external interventions have emerged to threaten his position in the near term, supporting the 93% implied probability that he remains in office through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$69,746End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ahmed al-Sharaa has served as Syria’s transitional president since his formal appointment on January 29, 2025, following the HTS-led overthrow of Bashar al-Assad, with a mandate covering a five-year period that extends well beyond the December 31, 2026, resolution date. Recent developments reinforcing trader consensus include his continued international engagement—such as the November 2025 White House meeting, UN addresses, and July 2026 statements on pursuing a security agreement with Israel—alongside efforts to integrate opposition forces like the SDF and stabilize governance. No major internal coups, widespread defections, or external interventions have emerged to threaten his position in the near term, supporting the 93% implied probability that he remains in office through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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