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Sports·Games

Sydney Swans vs. Essendon Bombers

icon for Sydney Swans vs. Essendon Bombers
Sports·Games

Sydney Swans vs. Essendon Bombers

Aug 16

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Aug 22

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Aug 22

Aug 22

Aug 22

Sydney Swans

99% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Sydney Swans

99% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Sydney Swans and Essendon Bombers, scheduled for August 22 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.**Sydney Swans hold a strong 76% implied probability against Essendon Bombers due to their superior ladder position and overall form.** The Swans sit second on the AFL ladder (around 17-5 or 18-5 record, ~134-136% percentage) after securing top-two status with a 36-point win over the Bombers in Round 23 at the MCG. Key contributors include Errol Gulden's elite midfield output (e.g., career-high 47 disposals), Charlie Curnow's goal-scoring threat, and consistent scoring from players like Isaac Heeney and Chad Warner. Essendon remains near the bottom (2-20/21 record, ~64% percentage), struggling with low scoring averages and defensive vulnerabilities across a tough season. Sydney's defensive structure and recent momentum, including multiple high-margin victories, underpin trader consensus on the mismatch, though roster adjustments from recent suspensions and typical AFL unpredictability remain variables.

This market refers to the AFL Women match between Sydney Swans and Essendon Bombers, scheduled for August 22 at 10:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win.

This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win.

The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$68
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.afl.com.au/aflw

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Sydney Swans and Essendon Bombers, scheduled for August 22 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Sydney Swans and Essendon Bombers, scheduled for August 22 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.**Sydney Swans hold a strong 76% implied probability against Essendon Bombers due to their superior ladder position and overall form.** The Swans sit second on the AFL ladder (around 17-5 or 18-5 record, ~134-136% percentage) after securing top-two status with a 36-point win over the Bombers in Round 23 at the MCG. Key contributors include Errol Gulden's elite midfield output (e.g., career-high 47 disposals), Charlie Curnow's goal-scoring threat, and consistent scoring from players like Isaac Heeney and Chad Warner. Essendon remains near the bottom (2-20/21 record, ~64% percentage), struggling with low scoring averages and defensive vulnerabilities across a tough season. Sydney's defensive structure and recent momentum, including multiple high-margin victories, underpin trader consensus on the mismatch, though roster adjustments from recent suspensions and typical AFL unpredictability remain variables.

This market refers to the AFL Women match between Sydney Swans and Essendon Bombers, scheduled for August 22 at 10:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win.

This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win.

The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$68
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.afl.com.au/aflw

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Sydney Swans and Essendon Bombers, scheduled for August 22 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sydney Swans vs. Essendon Bombers" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sydney Swans vs. Essendon Bombers" at 76%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sydney Swans vs. Essendon Bombers" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sydney Swans vs. Essendon Bombers," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sydney Swans vs. Essendon Bombers" is "Sydney Swans vs. Essendon Bombers" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sydney Swans vs. Essendon Bombers" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.