Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 TOUR Championship at East Lake as the clear leader in trader consensus at 21% implied probability, driven by his dominant FedExCup points lead, multiple top finishes this season, and a recent victory at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. The world No. 1 leads the tour in key strokes-gained categories and owns a strong East Lake track record, including a 2024 win, though a recent T12 at the BMW Championship followed a bout with hand, foot, and mouth disease. Rory McIlroy sits next at 9%, seeking a record fourth FedExCup title amid an up-and-down campaign. The wide-open 30-man field, reset to even par for straight stroke play, elevates contenders like Xander Schauffele, Sam Burns, Wyndham Clark, and Collin Morikawa, each with multiple 2026 wins and recent playoff momentum that underscores the competitive depth.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 21%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Xander Schauffele 6%
Sam Burns 5.4%
$59,761 Vol.
$59,761 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
21%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Sam Burns
5%
Wyndham Clark
5%
Collin Morikawa
5%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Chris Gotterup
4%
Ludvig Aberg
4%
Viktor Hovland
3%
Russell Henley
3%
Si Woo Kim
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Jacob Bridgeman
3%
Alex Smalley
3%
Kristoffer Reitan
3%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Alex Fitzpatrick
2%
Ryan Fox
2%
Ryan Gerard
2%
Adam Scott
2%
Tom Kim
2%
Justin Rose
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Scottie Scheffler 21%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Xander Schauffele 6%
Sam Burns 5.4%
$59,761 Vol.
$59,761 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
21%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Sam Burns
5%
Wyndham Clark
5%
Collin Morikawa
5%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Chris Gotterup
4%
Ludvig Aberg
4%
Viktor Hovland
3%
Russell Henley
3%
Si Woo Kim
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Jacob Bridgeman
3%
Alex Smalley
3%
Kristoffer Reitan
3%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Alex Fitzpatrick
2%
Ryan Fox
2%
Ryan Gerard
2%
Adam Scott
2%
Tom Kim
2%
Justin Rose
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 TOUR Championship at East Lake as the clear leader in trader consensus at 21% implied probability, driven by his dominant FedExCup points lead, multiple top finishes this season, and a recent victory at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. The world No. 1 leads the tour in key strokes-gained categories and owns a strong East Lake track record, including a 2024 win, though a recent T12 at the BMW Championship followed a bout with hand, foot, and mouth disease. Rory McIlroy sits next at 9%, seeking a record fourth FedExCup title amid an up-and-down campaign. The wide-open 30-man field, reset to even par for straight stroke play, elevates contenders like Xander Schauffele, Sam Burns, Wyndham Clark, and Collin Morikawa, each with multiple 2026 wins and recent playoff momentum that underscores the competitive depth.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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