A tightly bunched leaderboard after 36 holes at East Lake sets up a wide-open race for the third-round lead, with Ryan Gerard and Viktor Hovland atop the standings at 10 under and a dozen players within five shots. Cameron Young’s 62 and Scottie Scheffler’s steady 67 kept the world No. 1 in range, while Collin Morikawa and Chris Gotterup sit one back following matching 67s. Min Woo Lee’s opening 62 gave way to a 73 that dropped him out of contention, underscoring how quickly positions can shift on Moving Day. With favorable scoring conditions, multiple players from the top 15–20 possess realistic paths to the lowest 54-hole total through low rounds or steady play, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 50 percent across the group.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMin Woo Lee 100%
Hideki Matsuyama 100%
Rory McIlroy 100%
Kristoffer Reitan 100%
Min Woo Lee
100%
Hideki Matsuyama
100%
Rory McIlroy
100%
Kristoffer Reitan
100%
Justin Rose
100%
Xander Schauffele
100%
Akshay Bhatia
100%
Alex Fitzpatrick
100%
Tommy Fleetwood
100%
Chris Gotterup
100%
Russell Henley
100%
Viktor Hovland
100%
Si Woo Kim
100%
Tom Kim
100%
Jacob Bridgeman
100%
Wyndham Clark
100%
Matt Fitzpatrick
100%
Alex Smalley
99%
Ludvig Aberg
99%
Ryan Fox
99%
Ryan Gerard
99%
Sam Burns
99%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Scottie Scheffler
50%
J.J. Spaun
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Adam Scott
-
Min Woo Lee 100%
Hideki Matsuyama 100%
Rory McIlroy 100%
Kristoffer Reitan 100%
Min Woo Lee
100%
Hideki Matsuyama
100%
Rory McIlroy
100%
Kristoffer Reitan
100%
Justin Rose
100%
Xander Schauffele
100%
Akshay Bhatia
100%
Alex Fitzpatrick
100%
Tommy Fleetwood
100%
Chris Gotterup
100%
Russell Henley
100%
Viktor Hovland
100%
Si Woo Kim
100%
Tom Kim
100%
Jacob Bridgeman
100%
Wyndham Clark
100%
Matt Fitzpatrick
100%
Alex Smalley
99%
Ludvig Aberg
99%
Ryan Fox
99%
Ryan Gerard
99%
Sam Burns
99%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Scottie Scheffler
50%
J.J. Spaun
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Adam Scott
-
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A tightly bunched leaderboard after 36 holes at East Lake sets up a wide-open race for the third-round lead, with Ryan Gerard and Viktor Hovland atop the standings at 10 under and a dozen players within five shots. Cameron Young’s 62 and Scottie Scheffler’s steady 67 kept the world No. 1 in range, while Collin Morikawa and Chris Gotterup sit one back following matching 67s. Min Woo Lee’s opening 62 gave way to a 73 that dropped him out of contention, underscoring how quickly positions can shift on Moving Day. With favorable scoring conditions, multiple players from the top 15–20 possess realistic paths to the lowest 54-hole total through low rounds or steady play, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 50 percent across the group.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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