The 2026 TOUR Championship field at East Lake features a deep, evenly matched group of 30 players starting from even par, producing tight implied probabilities around 50% for the third-round leader. After Min Woo Lee’s opening 62 set the early pace, a cluster of players including Viktor Hovland, Collin Morikawa, Chris Gotterup, Ludvig Åberg, Scottie Scheffler, Akshay Bhatia, and Ryan Gerard sit within three shots, while established names such as Tommy Fleetwood, Sam Burns, Matt Fitzpatrick, Xander Schauffele, and Rory McIlroy remain within striking distance. Round-two and round-three scoring at the par-70 layout will hinge on iron play into contoured greens, short-game recovery from runoffs, and avoiding the course’s demanding par-4s and par-5s, with no dominant recent form or injury developments separating the contenders. The bunched pricing reflects this parity and the inherent variability of weekend scoring in a no-handicap, stroke-play finale.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMin Woo Lee 100%
Hideki Matsuyama 100%
Rory McIlroy 100%
Kristoffer Reitan 100%
Min Woo Lee
100%
Hideki Matsuyama
100%
Rory McIlroy
100%
Kristoffer Reitan
100%
Justin Rose
100%
Xander Schauffele
100%
Adam Scott
100%
Cameron Young
100%
Akshay Bhatia
100%
Alex Fitzpatrick
100%
Tommy Fleetwood
100%
Chris Gotterup
100%
Russell Henley
100%
Viktor Hovland
100%
Si Woo Kim
100%
Tom Kim
100%
Jacob Bridgeman
100%
Wyndham Clark
100%
Matt Fitzpatrick
100%
Collin Morikawa
99%
Alex Smalley
99%
Ludvig Aberg
99%
Ryan Fox
99%
Ryan Gerard
99%
Sam Burns
99%
Scottie Scheffler
50%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Min Woo Lee 100%
Hideki Matsuyama 100%
Rory McIlroy 100%
Kristoffer Reitan 100%
Min Woo Lee
100%
Hideki Matsuyama
100%
Rory McIlroy
100%
Kristoffer Reitan
100%
Justin Rose
100%
Xander Schauffele
100%
Adam Scott
100%
Cameron Young
100%
Akshay Bhatia
100%
Alex Fitzpatrick
100%
Tommy Fleetwood
100%
Chris Gotterup
100%
Russell Henley
100%
Viktor Hovland
100%
Si Woo Kim
100%
Tom Kim
100%
Jacob Bridgeman
100%
Wyndham Clark
100%
Matt Fitzpatrick
100%
Collin Morikawa
99%
Alex Smalley
99%
Ludvig Aberg
99%
Ryan Fox
99%
Ryan Gerard
99%
Sam Burns
99%
Scottie Scheffler
50%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 TOUR Championship field at East Lake features a deep, evenly matched group of 30 players starting from even par, producing tight implied probabilities around 50% for the third-round leader. After Min Woo Lee’s opening 62 set the early pace, a cluster of players including Viktor Hovland, Collin Morikawa, Chris Gotterup, Ludvig Åberg, Scottie Scheffler, Akshay Bhatia, and Ryan Gerard sit within three shots, while established names such as Tommy Fleetwood, Sam Burns, Matt Fitzpatrick, Xander Schauffele, and Rory McIlroy remain within striking distance. Round-two and round-three scoring at the par-70 layout will hinge on iron play into contoured greens, short-game recovery from runoffs, and avoiding the course’s demanding par-4s and par-5s, with no dominant recent form or injury developments separating the contenders. The bunched pricing reflects this parity and the inherent variability of weekend scoring in a no-handicap, stroke-play finale.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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