Ryan Gerard's consecutive 65s at East Lake have positioned him atop the TOUR Championship leaderboard at 10-under after 36 holes, driving the overwhelming market consensus for him as second-round leader. Strong iron play, GIR percentages near 78 percent, and clutch putting—including a 78-foot birdie—allowed him to overcome an early bogey and pull ahead of the field alongside Viktor Hovland. His prior PGA Tour victory at The Memorial and consistent 2026 form have reinforced trader views of his current momentum. Top names like Scottie Scheffler and Collin Morikawa sit two or three shots back, while scenarios such as a rules clarification on any tie, late scorecard adjustments, or uncharacteristic back-nine swings by co-leaders could still shift the final designation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRyan Gerard 100.0%
J.J. Spaun 8.9%
Jacob Bridgeman 1.0%
Russell Henley 1.0%
$1,680 Vol.
$1,680 Vol.
Akshay Bhatia
No
Jacob Bridgeman
No
Russell Henley
No
Si Woo Kim
No
Kurt Kitayama
No
Collin Morikawa
No
J.J. Spaun
No
Cameron Young
No
Ludvig Aberg
No
Sam Burns
No
Bud Cauley
No
Wyndham Clark
No
Alex Fitzpatrick
No
Matt Fitzpatrick
No
Tommy Fleetwood
No
Rickie Fowler
No
Ryan Fox
No
Ryan Gerard
Yes
Chris Gotterup
No
Viktor Hovland
No
Tom Kim
No
Min Woo Lee
No
Hideki Matsuyama
No
Rory McIlroy
No
Kristoffer Reitan
No
Justin Rose
No
Xander Schauffele
No
Scottie Scheffler
No
Adam Scott
No
Alex Smalley
No
Ryan Gerard 100.0%
J.J. Spaun 8.9%
Jacob Bridgeman 1.0%
Russell Henley 1.0%
$1,680 Vol.
$1,680 Vol.
Akshay Bhatia
No
Jacob Bridgeman
No
Russell Henley
No
Si Woo Kim
No
Kurt Kitayama
No
Collin Morikawa
No
J.J. Spaun
No
Cameron Young
No
Ludvig Aberg
No
Sam Burns
No
Bud Cauley
No
Wyndham Clark
No
Alex Fitzpatrick
No
Matt Fitzpatrick
No
Tommy Fleetwood
No
Rickie Fowler
No
Ryan Fox
No
Ryan Gerard
Yes
Chris Gotterup
No
Viktor Hovland
No
Tom Kim
No
Min Woo Lee
No
Hideki Matsuyama
No
Rory McIlroy
No
Kristoffer Reitan
No
Justin Rose
No
Xander Schauffele
No
Scottie Scheffler
No
Adam Scott
No
Alex Smalley
No
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Ryan Gerard's consecutive 65s at East Lake have positioned him atop the TOUR Championship leaderboard at 10-under after 36 holes, driving the overwhelming market consensus for him as second-round leader. Strong iron play, GIR percentages near 78 percent, and clutch putting—including a 78-foot birdie—allowed him to overcome an early bogey and pull ahead of the field alongside Viktor Hovland. His prior PGA Tour victory at The Memorial and consistent 2026 form have reinforced trader views of his current momentum. Top names like Scottie Scheffler and Collin Morikawa sit two or three shots back, while scenarios such as a rules clarification on any tie, late scorecard adjustments, or uncharacteristic back-nine swings by co-leaders could still shift the final designation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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