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Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: TOUR Championship First Round Leader

icon for PGA Tour: TOUR Championship First Round Leader
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: TOUR Championship First Round Leader

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Scottie Scheffler 22%

Rory McIlroy 20%

Bud Cauley 20%

Xander Schauffele 19%

Polymarket
NEW

Scottie Scheffler 22%

Rory McIlroy 20%

Bud Cauley 20%

Xander Schauffele 19%

Polymarket
NEW

Scottie Scheffler

$0 Vol.

22%

Rory McIlroy

$0 Vol.

20%

Bud Cauley

$60 Vol.

20%

Xander Schauffele

$0 Vol.

19%

Chris Gotterup

$0 Vol.

19%

Russell Henley

$0 Vol.

19%

Collin Morikawa

$0 Vol.

19%

Sam Burns

$0 Vol.

19%

Wyndham Clark

$0 Vol.

19%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

19%

Tommy Fleetwood

$0 Vol.

19%

Si Woo Kim

$0 Vol.

19%

Cameron Young

$0 Vol.

19%

Viktor Hovland

$0 Vol.

18%

Hideki Matsuyama

$0 Vol.

18%

Justin Rose

$0 Vol.

18%

Ludvig Aberg

$0 Vol.

18%

Min Woo Lee

$0 Vol.

18%

Kristoffer Reitan

$0 Vol.

18%

Alex Smalley

$0 Vol.

18%

Jacob Bridgeman

$0 Vol.

18%

Tom Kim

$0 Vol.

18%

Adam Scott

$0 Vol.

18%

Alex Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

17%

Ryan Fox

$0 Vol.

17%

J.J. Spaun

$0 Vol.

17%

Akshay Bhatia

$0 Vol.

17%

Ryan Gerard

$0 Vol.

17%

Kurt Kitayama

$10 Vol.

1%

Rickie Fowler

$65 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 TOUR Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.The tightly bunched first-round leader market at the 2026 TOUR Championship reflects the parity across a 30-player field of elite golfers at East Lake Golf Club, where all competitors start at even par in straight stroke play. Scottie Scheffler enters with the strongest overall résumé and recent bounce-back potential after illness, while Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele bring proven East Lake course history and strong playoff momentum. Wyndham Clark’s recent BMW Championship victory, Cameron Young’s breakout season including THE PLAYERS title, and consistent form from players like Sam Burns, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Collin Morikawa further compress probabilities. In a single round on this demanding layout, high variance and the absence of starting strokes keep implied probabilities clustered, as any contender can post a low score on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 TOUR Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$135
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 TOUR Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 TOUR Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.The tightly bunched first-round leader market at the 2026 TOUR Championship reflects the parity across a 30-player field of elite golfers at East Lake Golf Club, where all competitors start at even par in straight stroke play. Scottie Scheffler enters with the strongest overall résumé and recent bounce-back potential after illness, while Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele bring proven East Lake course history and strong playoff momentum. Wyndham Clark’s recent BMW Championship victory, Cameron Young’s breakout season including THE PLAYERS title, and consistent form from players like Sam Burns, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Collin Morikawa further compress probabilities. In a single round on this demanding layout, high variance and the absence of starting strokes keep implied probabilities clustered, as any contender can post a low score on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 TOUR Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$135
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 TOUR Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: TOUR Championship First Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 22%, followed by "Rory McIlroy" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PGA Tour: TOUR Championship First Round Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship First Round Leader," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship First Round Leader" is "Scottie Scheffler" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rory McIlroy" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship First Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.