Recent special election results and primary turnout data highlight an enthusiasm gap favoring Democrats, driven by economic concerns over affordability and prices, which Pew surveys identify as the dominant voter priority. This dynamic, combined with competitive House races and varying mobilization on both sides, sustains tight probabilities across the 115-125 million vote range as traders weigh base turnout against historical midterm patterns of 40-50 percent participation among the voting-eligible population. Factors such as early voting access, youth engagement trends, and ongoing campaign spending could shift volumes if one party's coalition consolidates or if national sentiment intensifies around key issues before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated120-125m 25%
115-120m 19%
125-130m 16%
130m+ 11.2%
$23,514 Vol.
$23,514 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
3%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
2%
105-110m
8%
110-115m
11%
115-120m
19%
120-125m
25%
125-130m
16%
130m+
11%
120-125m 25%
115-120m 19%
125-130m 16%
130m+ 11.2%
$23,514 Vol.
$23,514 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
$572 Vol.
1%
85-90m
$599 Vol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,723 Vol.
3%
95-100m
$380 Vol.
3%
100-105m
$1,001 Vol.
2%
105-110m
$931 Vol.
8%
110-115m
$3,928 Vol.
11%
115-120m
$3,988 Vol.
19%
120-125m
$7,221 Vol.
25%
125-130m
$2,360 Vol.
16%
130m+
$812 Vol.
11%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent special election results and primary turnout data highlight an enthusiasm gap favoring Democrats, driven by economic concerns over affordability and prices, which Pew surveys identify as the dominant voter priority. This dynamic, combined with competitive House races and varying mobilization on both sides, sustains tight probabilities across the 115-125 million vote range as traders weigh base turnout against historical midterm patterns of 40-50 percent participation among the voting-eligible population. Factors such as early voting access, youth engagement trends, and ongoing campaign spending could shift volumes if one party's coalition consolidates or if national sentiment intensifies around key issues before November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$23,514End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent special election results and primary turnout data highlight an enthusiasm gap favoring Democrats, driven by economic concerns over affordability and prices, which Pew surveys identify as the dominant voter priority. This dynamic, combined with competitive House races and varying mobilization on both sides, sustains tight probabilities across the 115-125 million vote range as traders weigh base turnout against historical midterm patterns of 40-50 percent participation among the voting-eligible population. Factors such as early voting access, youth engagement trends, and ongoing campaign spending could shift volumes if one party's coalition consolidates or if national sentiment intensifies around key issues before November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$23,514End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent special election results and primary turnout data highlight an enthusiasm gap favoring Democrats, driven by economic concerns over affordability and prices, which Pew surveys identify as the dominant voter priority. This dynamic, combined with competitive House races and varying mobilization on both sides, sustains tight probabilities across the 115-125 million vote range as traders weigh base turnout against historical midterm patterns of 40-50 percent participation among the voting-eligible population. Factors such as early voting access, youth engagement trends, and ongoing campaign spending could shift volumes if one party's coalition consolidates or if national sentiment intensifies around key issues before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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