Frances Tiafoe, the No. 12 seed and two-time US Open semifinalist, enters the first-round matchup as the clear market favorite against No. 92 Martin Damm on hard courts. Tiafoe reached the Cincinnati final in late August after strong wins over top players, though a recent wrist cyst and subsequent surgery raise questions about his serving and forehand consistency heading into New York. Damm, a 22-year-old left-hander standing 6-foot-8, arrives with momentum after his career-best upset of Daniil Medvedev in Winston-Salem, where he also advanced past qualifying rounds. The American underdog’s height, recent hard-court results, and home-crowd support create realistic upset potential in a best-of-five format, but Tiafoe’s superior ranking, experience in Grand Slams, and overall 2026 win rate continue to anchor trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAll Sports
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Martin Damm – Frances Tiafoe
Moneyline
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Frances Tiafoe.
This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Martin Damm.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Martin Damm – Frances Tiafoe
Moneyline
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Frances Tiafoe.
This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Martin Damm.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Frances Tiafoe, the No. 12 seed and two-time US Open semifinalist, enters the first-round matchup as the clear market favorite against No. 92 Martin Damm on hard courts. Tiafoe reached the Cincinnati final in late August after strong wins over top players, though a recent wrist cyst and subsequent surgery raise questions about his serving and forehand consistency heading into New York. Damm, a 22-year-old left-hander standing 6-foot-8, arrives with momentum after his career-best upset of Daniil Medvedev in Winston-Salem, where he also advanced past qualifying rounds. The American underdog’s height, recent hard-court results, and home-crowd support create realistic upset potential in a best-of-five format, but Tiafoe’s superior ranking, experience in Grand Slams, and overall 2026 win rate continue to anchor trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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