Kylian Mbappé’s five-year contract with Real Madrid, running through June 2029, anchors the near-certain trader consensus at 99.5% for “No” on a departure before the August 31 deadline. With the summer transfer window closing imminently and no credible reports of interest from other clubs or willingness from the player or Los Blancos to negotiate an exit, recent developments reinforce stability: Mbappé has returned from his post-World Cup break and resumed preseason training under new manager Jose Mourinho. Fan petitions from earlier in the year remain symbolic and have not altered the situation. The only realistic scenarios that could still shift odds involve an unforeseen high-value bid combined with an unexpected club decision to sell, though such moves appear highly improbable given the contract length and current squad planning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<1% chance
$20,526 Vol.
$20,526 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<1% chance
$20,526 Vol.
$20,526 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.
If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.
If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé’s five-year contract with Real Madrid, running through June 2029, anchors the near-certain trader consensus at 99.5% for “No” on a departure before the August 31 deadline. With the summer transfer window closing imminently and no credible reports of interest from other clubs or willingness from the player or Los Blancos to negotiate an exit, recent developments reinforce stability: Mbappé has returned from his post-World Cup break and resumed preseason training under new manager Jose Mourinho. Fan petitions from earlier in the year remain symbolic and have not altered the situation. The only realistic scenarios that could still shift odds involve an unforeseen high-value bid combined with an unexpected club decision to sell, though such moves appear highly improbable given the contract length and current squad planning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.
If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.
If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.
If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.
If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 2:45 PM ET
Volume
$20,526End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 2:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.
If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.
If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé’s five-year contract with Real Madrid, running through June 2029, anchors the near-certain trader consensus at 99.5% for “No” on a departure before the August 31 deadline. With the summer transfer window closing imminently and no credible reports of interest from other clubs or willingness from the player or Los Blancos to negotiate an exit, recent developments reinforce stability: Mbappé has returned from his post-World Cup break and resumed preseason training under new manager Jose Mourinho. Fan petitions from earlier in the year remain symbolic and have not altered the situation. The only realistic scenarios that could still shift odds involve an unforeseen high-value bid combined with an unexpected club decision to sell, though such moves appear highly improbable given the contract length and current squad planning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.
If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.
If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.
If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.
If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,526End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 2:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kylian Mbappé’s five-year contract with Real Madrid, running through June 2029, anchors the near-certain trader consensus at 99.5% for “No” on a departure before the August 31 deadline. With the summer transfer window closing imminently and no credible reports of interest from other clubs or willingness from the player or Los Blancos to negotiate an exit, recent developments reinforce stability: Mbappé has returned from his post-World Cup break and resumed preseason training under new manager Jose Mourinho. Fan petitions from earlier in the year remain symbolic and have not altered the situation. The only realistic scenarios that could still shift odds involve an unforeseen high-value bid combined with an unexpected club decision to sell, though such moves appear highly improbable given the contract length and current squad planning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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