Recent US announcements of intensified sanctions, including measures targeting Iran's oil revenues and broader financial networks, have reinforced depreciation pressures on the rial in free-market trading. Ongoing capital flight, elevated domestic inflation exceeding 60 percent, and curtailed export capacity sustain strong demand for USD amid limited reserve access. As of late August 2026, unofficial rates hover near 2.0–2.03 million rials per dollar, aligning trader consensus on the 2.0–2.1 million band as the most probable end-of-month outcome. Lower probabilities assigned to sharper spikes or reversals reflect the absence of immediate diplomatic breakthroughs or policy shifts within the narrow resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.0-2.1M 49.2%
2.1-2.2M 27.0%
2.2M+ 12.3%
1.9-2.0M 11%
$100,545 Vol.
$100,545 Vol.
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
1%
1.8-1.9M
3%
1.9-2.0M
11%
2.0-2.1M
49%
2.1-2.2M
27%
2.2M+
12%
2.0-2.1M 49.2%
2.1-2.2M 27.0%
2.2M+ 12.3%
1.9-2.0M 11%
$100,545 Vol.
$100,545 Vol.
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
1%
1.8-1.9M
3%
1.9-2.0M
11%
2.0-2.1M
49%
2.1-2.2M
27%
2.2M+
12%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent US announcements of intensified sanctions, including measures targeting Iran's oil revenues and broader financial networks, have reinforced depreciation pressures on the rial in free-market trading. Ongoing capital flight, elevated domestic inflation exceeding 60 percent, and curtailed export capacity sustain strong demand for USD amid limited reserve access. As of late August 2026, unofficial rates hover near 2.0–2.03 million rials per dollar, aligning trader consensus on the 2.0–2.1 million band as the most probable end-of-month outcome. Lower probabilities assigned to sharper spikes or reversals reflect the absence of immediate diplomatic breakthroughs or policy shifts within the narrow resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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