**Recent US sanctions escalation and related economic pressures have driven the Iranian rial to record lows near 2 million per USD on the parallel market, aligning trader consensus with the 2.0-2.1M range at end-August.** In late August 2026, the unofficial rate crossed or approached 2 million rials per dollar amid new Treasury measures under "Operation Economic Outcast," including sanctions on oil shipping networks, financial intermediaries, and secondary targets, plus threats of timelines for trading partners to cut ties. Iran's oil exports have effectively halted, the UAE suspended transactions, and inflation expectations plus disrupted foreign-exchange flows have intensified depreciation. Official rates remain lower (around 1.37-1.57M), but parallel-market pricing—widely tracked for such resolutions—has stabilized near the leading band after sharp recent gains, with limited scope for major reversal before month-end absent sudden de-escalation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.0-2.1M 59.4%
1.9-2.0M 18%
2.1-2.2M 10.8%
2.2M+ 9.1%
$131,315 Vol.
$131,315 Vol.
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
<1%
1.8-1.9M
2%
1.9-2.0M
18%
2.0-2.1M
59%
2.1-2.2M
11%
2.2M+
9%
2.0-2.1M 59.4%
1.9-2.0M 18%
2.1-2.2M 10.8%
2.2M+ 9.1%
$131,315 Vol.
$131,315 Vol.
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
<1%
1.8-1.9M
2%
1.9-2.0M
18%
2.0-2.1M
59%
2.1-2.2M
11%
2.2M+
9%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent US sanctions escalation and related economic pressures have driven the Iranian rial to record lows near 2 million per USD on the parallel market, aligning trader consensus with the 2.0-2.1M range at end-August.** In late August 2026, the unofficial rate crossed or approached 2 million rials per dollar amid new Treasury measures under "Operation Economic Outcast," including sanctions on oil shipping networks, financial intermediaries, and secondary targets, plus threats of timelines for trading partners to cut ties. Iran's oil exports have effectively halted, the UAE suspended transactions, and inflation expectations plus disrupted foreign-exchange flows have intensified depreciation. Official rates remain lower (around 1.37-1.57M), but parallel-market pricing—widely tracked for such resolutions—has stabilized near the leading band after sharp recent gains, with limited scope for major reversal before month-end absent sudden de-escalation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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