Umar Nurmagomedov enters the Shanghai main event as a heavy favorite, reflecting traders' consensus on his elite wrestling, transitional grappling, and back-control threats against a durable opponent. The Dagestani contender (20-1) has rebounded from his lone loss to Merab Dvalishvili with decision wins over Deiveson Figueiredo and Mario Bautista, maintaining strong reach and accuracy advantages. Song Yadong (23-9-1) returns to his home country after a May submission victory over Figueiredo and brings powerful striking plus improved takedown defense, yet faces a stylistic test against Nurmagomedov's fence control and volume. With the winner positioned for bantamweight title contention, the matchup highlights Nurmagomedov's grappling edge over Song's power and cardio on short notice.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7h 23m 49s
This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Song Yadong defeats Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Umar Nurmagomedov defeats Song Yadong at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
"Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
"Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
"Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 3.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
"Under 3.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 4.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
"Under 4.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Umar Nurmagomedov enters the Shanghai main event as a heavy favorite, reflecting traders' consensus on his elite wrestling, transitional grappling, and back-control threats against a durable opponent. The Dagestani contender (20-1) has rebounded from his lone loss to Merab Dvalishvili with decision wins over Deiveson Figueiredo and Mario Bautista, maintaining strong reach and accuracy advantages. Song Yadong (23-9-1) returns to his home country after a May submission victory over Figueiredo and brings powerful striking plus improved takedown defense, yet faces a stylistic test against Nurmagomedov's fence control and volume. With the winner positioned for bantamweight title contention, the matchup highlights Nurmagomedov's grappling edge over Song's power and cardio on short notice.
This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$320,561End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...7h 23m 49s
This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Song Yadong defeats Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Umar Nurmagomedov defeats Song Yadong at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
"Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
"Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
"Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 3.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
"Under 3.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 4.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
"Under 4.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Umar Nurmagomedov enters the Shanghai main event as a heavy favorite, reflecting traders' consensus on his elite wrestling, transitional grappling, and back-control threats against a durable opponent. The Dagestani contender (20-1) has rebounded from his lone loss to Merab Dvalishvili with decision wins over Deiveson Figueiredo and Mario Bautista, maintaining strong reach and accuracy advantages. Song Yadong (23-9-1) returns to his home country after a May submission victory over Figueiredo and brings powerful striking plus improved takedown defense, yet faces a stylistic test against Nurmagomedov's fence control and volume. With the winner positioned for bantamweight title contention, the matchup highlights Nurmagomedov's grappling edge over Song's power and cardio on short notice.
This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$320,561End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...Umar Nurmagomedov enters the Shanghai main event as a heavy favorite, reflecting traders' consensus on his elite wrestling, transitional grappling, and back-control threats against a durable opponent. The Dagestani contender (20-1) has rebounded from his lone loss to Merab Dvalishvili with decision wins over Deiveson Figueiredo and Mario Bautista, maintaining strong reach and accuracy advantages. Song Yadong (23-9-1) returns to his home country after a May submission victory over Figueiredo and brings powerful striking plus improved takedown defense, yet faces a stylistic test against Nurmagomedov's fence control and volume. With the winner positioned for bantamweight title contention, the matchup highlights Nurmagomedov's grappling edge over Song's power and cardio on short notice.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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