Benfica enter the second leg of this UEFA Europa League play-off tie holding a 3-1 aggregate lead from the first leg at Estádio da Luz, where they controlled proceedings despite conceding once. The Portuguese side’s superior squad depth, attacking firepower, and extensive continental experience position them as clear favorites on the road, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability traders assign to a Benfica victory. AGF Aarhus, meanwhile, have endured a sluggish domestic start and multiple long-term absences that limit their options in midfield and defense. With the Danish side needing a strong home performance to overturn the deficit, the market prices a draw at 19% and an AGF win at 16%, underscoring Benfica’s consistent edge in recent European ties.