The April 2026 Turner Prize shortlist announcement established a tightly contested four-way race among Tanoa Sasraku, Kira Freije, Marguerite Humeau, and Simeon Barclay, reflected in clustered market-implied probabilities. Traders currently assign Sasraku the clearest edge based on critical response to her ICA solo exhibition Morale Patch, which highlighted process-led sculpture and material exploration, while Freije’s atmospheric installations at Modern Art Oxford and Humeau’s Torches show at ARKEN provide strong but slightly less dominant momentum. Barclay’s performance and sculptural work round out a field emphasizing interdisciplinary practice. With the MIMA exhibition opening in late September and the winner to be decided December 10, the market awaits new installations and any late critical shifts to clarify frontrunner status in this historically unpredictable prize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTurner Prize 2026 Winner
Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Tanoa Sasraku 35%
Kira Freije 24%
Marguerite Humeau 22%
Simeon Barclay 15%
NEW
NEW
Dec 10, 2026
Tanoa Sasraku
35%
Kira Freije
24%
Marguerite Humeau
22%
Simeon Barclay
15%
Tanoa Sasraku 35%
Kira Freije 24%
Marguerite Humeau 22%
Simeon Barclay 15%
NEW
NEW
Dec 10, 2026
Tanoa Sasraku
$2,365 Vol.
35%
Kira Freije
$1,214 Vol.
24%
Marguerite Humeau
$1,040 Vol.
22%
Simeon Barclay
$309 Vol.
15%
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The April 2026 Turner Prize shortlist announcement established a tightly contested four-way race among Tanoa Sasraku, Kira Freije, Marguerite Humeau, and Simeon Barclay, reflected in clustered market-implied probabilities. Traders currently assign Sasraku the clearest edge based on critical response to her ICA solo exhibition Morale Patch, which highlighted process-led sculpture and material exploration, while Freije’s atmospheric installations at Modern Art Oxford and Humeau’s Torches show at ARKEN provide strong but slightly less dominant momentum. Barclay’s performance and sculptural work round out a field emphasizing interdisciplinary practice. With the MIMA exhibition opening in late September and the winner to be decided December 10, the market awaits new installations and any late critical shifts to clarify frontrunner status in this historically unpredictable prize.
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$4,928End Date
Dec 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The April 2026 Turner Prize shortlist announcement established a tightly contested four-way race among Tanoa Sasraku, Kira Freije, Marguerite Humeau, and Simeon Barclay, reflected in clustered market-implied probabilities. Traders currently assign Sasraku the clearest edge based on critical response to her ICA solo exhibition Morale Patch, which highlighted process-led sculpture and material exploration, while Freije’s atmospheric installations at Modern Art Oxford and Humeau’s Torches show at ARKEN provide strong but slightly less dominant momentum. Barclay’s performance and sculptural work round out a field emphasizing interdisciplinary practice. With the MIMA exhibition opening in late September and the winner to be decided December 10, the market awaits new installations and any late critical shifts to clarify frontrunner status in this historically unpredictable prize.
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,928End Date
Dec 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The April 2026 Turner Prize shortlist announcement established a tightly contested four-way race among Tanoa Sasraku, Kira Freije, Marguerite Humeau, and Simeon Barclay, reflected in clustered market-implied probabilities. Traders currently assign Sasraku the clearest edge based on critical response to her ICA solo exhibition Morale Patch, which highlighted process-led sculpture and material exploration, while Freije’s atmospheric installations at Modern Art Oxford and Humeau’s Torches show at ARKEN provide strong but slightly less dominant momentum. Barclay’s performance and sculptural work round out a field emphasizing interdisciplinary practice. With the MIMA exhibition opening in late September and the winner to be decided December 10, the market awaits new installations and any late critical shifts to clarify frontrunner status in this historically unpredictable prize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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