Newly promoted Venezia, Frosinone, and Monza entered the 2026-27 Serie A campaign as the clearest relegation candidates after replacing Cremonese, Hellas Verona, and Pisa. Pre-season models from Opta and StatsUltra assign Monza the highest relegation probability (42-70%), followed by Frosinone (40-56%) and Venezia (33-44%), with Lecce also vulnerable after finishing 17th the prior season. Frosinone’s repeated struggles in prior top-flight spells, Monza’s modest squad depth despite Ivan Jurić’s appointment, and Venezia’s reliance on summer signing Akor Adams underpin the consensus. Early fixtures have reinforced concerns, as several promoted sides opened with losses amid a schedule that quickly tests limited resources against established mid-table and lower-table opponents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMonza
54%
Frosinone
52%
Venezia
52%
Lecce
52%
Cagliari
52%
Inter Milan
50%
Lazio
50%
AC Milan
50%
Napoli
50%
Parma
50%
Sassuolo
50%
Torino
50%
Udinese
50%
Atalanta
50%
Bologna
50%
Fiorentina
50%
Genoa
50%
Roma
50%
Como
50%
Juventus
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Monza
54%
Frosinone
52%
Venezia
52%
Lecce
52%
Cagliari
52%
Inter Milan
50%
Lazio
50%
AC Milan
50%
Napoli
50%
Parma
50%
Sassuolo
50%
Torino
50%
Udinese
50%
Atalanta
50%
Bologna
50%
Fiorentina
50%
Genoa
50%
Roma
50%
Como
50%
Juventus
50%
Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Serie A for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Serie A, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Serie A.
If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Serie A for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Serie A, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Serie A.
If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Newly promoted Venezia, Frosinone, and Monza entered the 2026-27 Serie A campaign as the clearest relegation candidates after replacing Cremonese, Hellas Verona, and Pisa. Pre-season models from Opta and StatsUltra assign Monza the highest relegation probability (42-70%), followed by Frosinone (40-56%) and Venezia (33-44%), with Lecce also vulnerable after finishing 17th the prior season. Frosinone’s repeated struggles in prior top-flight spells, Monza’s modest squad depth despite Ivan Jurić’s appointment, and Venezia’s reliance on summer signing Akor Adams underpin the consensus. Early fixtures have reinforced concerns, as several promoted sides opened with losses amid a schedule that quickly tests limited resources against established mid-table and lower-table opponents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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