Skip to main content
icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Justin Herbert 12%

Josh Allen 12%

Drake Maye 10%

Caleb Williams 9.3%

Polymarket

$505,005 Vol.

Justin Herbert 12%

Josh Allen 12%

Drake Maye 10%

Caleb Williams 9.3%

Polymarket

$505,005 Vol.

Justin Herbert

$45,889 Vol.

12%

Josh Allen

$11,621 Vol.

12%

Drake Maye

$11,665 Vol.

10%

Caleb Williams

$14,990 Vol.

9%

Joe Burrow

$14,900 Vol.

9%

Lamar Jackson

$24,451 Vol.

9%

Dak Prescott

$16,084 Vol.

8%

Patrick Mahomes

$3,972 Vol.

7%

Brock Purdy

$15,335 Vol.

5%

Matthew Stafford

$5,720 Vol.

5%

Jordan Love

$5,883 Vol.

4%

Jalen Hurts

$10,318 Vol.

3%

Trevor Lawrence

$7,195 Vol.

3%

Bo Nix

$8,394 Vol.

2%

Baker Mayfield

$107,033 Vol.

2%

Jared Goff

$6,492 Vol.

2%

Sam Darnold

$8,786 Vol.

1%

Jahmyr Gibbs

$6,777 Vol.

1%

Jaxson Dart

$10,914 Vol.

1%

Saquon Barkley

$123,828 Vol.

<1%

Christian McCaffrey

$7,937 Vol.

<1%

Puka Nacua

$2,905 Vol.

<1%

Justin Jefferson

$8,696 Vol.

<1%

Jaxson Smith-Njigba

$5,622 Vol.

<1%

Bijan Robinson

$4,081 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Henry

$4,645 Vol.

<1%

De'Von Achane

$5,120 Vol.

<1%

Myles Garrett

$4,718 Vol.

<1%

Player J

$1,035 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Josh Allen and Justin Herbert lead the 2026 NFL MVP market at 11.5% implied probability each, reflecting their combination of proven volume production and favorable supporting casts heading into the season. Allen enters with sustained dual-threat dominance, including career-high rushing output that boosts total touchdowns, while Herbert benefits from a healthier offensive line featuring Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater plus a scheme upgrade under new coordinator Mike McDaniel that should elevate passing efficiency. Drake Maye and Caleb Williams follow closely due to their 2025 momentum and upward trajectories, though regression risks and tougher schedules temper expectations. The wide distribution across quarterbacks stems from recent form, roster stability, and the historical preference for signal-callers on contending teams in MVP voting.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$505,005
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Josh Allen and Justin Herbert lead the 2026 NFL MVP market at 11.5% implied probability each, reflecting their combination of proven volume production and favorable supporting casts heading into the season. Allen enters with sustained dual-threat dominance, including career-high rushing output that boosts total touchdowns, while Herbert benefits from a healthier offensive line featuring Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater plus a scheme upgrade under new coordinator Mike McDaniel that should elevate passing efficiency. Drake Maye and Caleb Williams follow closely due to their 2025 momentum and upward trajectories, though regression risks and tougher schedules temper expectations. The wide distribution across quarterbacks stems from recent form, roster stability, and the historical preference for signal-callers on contending teams in MVP voting.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$505,005
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

Related

icon for Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

56%
icon for Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?

Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?

14%
icon for Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

92%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Justin Herbert" at 12%, followed by "Josh Allen" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" has generated $505K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is "Justin Herbert" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Josh Allen" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.