The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 46-49.5% for a wide range of Premier League sides in the 2026-27 17th-place market stem from pre-season uncertainty and high variance in mid-table outcomes. Extensive summer transfer activity, new managerial appointments, and squad integration challenges affect both established clubs and promoted teams, while historical data shows frequent shifts in final positions driven by form, injuries, and fixture difficulty. With no team holding a clear edge this early, trader consensus reflects the league’s competitive parity and the potential for any side to land in that exact relegation-survivor spot once the campaign begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEverton 49%
Fulham 49%
Ipswich Town 49%
Leeds United 49%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Everton
49%
Fulham
49%
Ipswich Town
49%
Leeds United
49%
Liverpool
49%
Manchester City
49%
Manchester United
49%
Arsenal
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Bournemouth
49%
Brentford
49%
Brighton & Hove Albion
49%
Coventry City
49%
Hull City
49%
Crystal Palace
49%
Chelsea
48%
Everton 49%
Fulham 49%
Ipswich Town 49%
Leeds United 49%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Everton
$0 Vol.
49%
Fulham
$0 Vol.
49%
Ipswich Town
$0 Vol.
49%
Leeds United
$0 Vol.
49%
Liverpool
$0 Vol.
49%
Manchester City
$0 Vol.
49%
Manchester United
$0 Vol.
49%
Arsenal
$0 Vol.
49%
Aston Villa
$0 Vol.
49%
Bournemouth
$0 Vol.
49%
Brentford
$0 Vol.
49%
Brighton & Hove Albion
$0 Vol.
49%
Coventry City
$0 Vol.
49%
Hull City
$0 Vol.
49%
Crystal Palace
$0 Vol.
49%
Chelsea
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 17th in the 2026-27 Premier League. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2026-27 Premier League, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 46-49.5% for a wide range of Premier League sides in the 2026-27 17th-place market stem from pre-season uncertainty and high variance in mid-table outcomes. Extensive summer transfer activity, new managerial appointments, and squad integration challenges affect both established clubs and promoted teams, while historical data shows frequent shifts in final positions driven by form, injuries, and fixture difficulty. With no team holding a clear edge this early, trader consensus reflects the league’s competitive parity and the potential for any side to land in that exact relegation-survivor spot once the campaign begins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 17th in the 2026-27 Premier League. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2026-27 Premier League, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2026-27 Premier League, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:36 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 17th in the 2026-27 Premier League. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2026-27 Premier League, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 46-49.5% for a wide range of Premier League sides in the 2026-27 17th-place market stem from pre-season uncertainty and high variance in mid-table outcomes. Extensive summer transfer activity, new managerial appointments, and squad integration challenges affect both established clubs and promoted teams, while historical data shows frequent shifts in final positions driven by form, injuries, and fixture difficulty. With no team holding a clear edge this early, trader consensus reflects the league’s competitive parity and the potential for any side to land in that exact relegation-survivor spot once the campaign begins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 17th in the 2026-27 Premier League. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2026-27 Premier League, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2026-27 Premier League, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 46-49.5% for a wide range of Premier League sides in the 2026-27 17th-place market stem from pre-season uncertainty and high variance in mid-table outcomes. Extensive summer transfer activity, new managerial appointments, and squad integration challenges affect both established clubs and promoted teams, while historical data shows frequent shifts in final positions driven by form, injuries, and fixture difficulty. With no team holding a clear edge this early, trader consensus reflects the league’s competitive parity and the potential for any side to land in that exact relegation-survivor spot once the campaign begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions