The 2026 NHL Draft produced an unusually deep rookie class, leaving the Calder Trophy market tightly bunched with no dominant favorite ahead of the 2026-27 season. Gavin McKenna, the top overall pick by the Toronto Maple Leafs, leads at 27.5% implied probability due to his projected top-six role and power-play time, while Ivar Stenberg (11.0%) follows as the second overall selection expected to contribute immediately with the San Jose Sharks. Other high selections such as Porter Martone, Anton Frondell, Roman Kantserov, and Cole Hutson sit close behind, supported by strong junior, college, or international production and favorable team situations. With limited NHL experience across the group and ice-time distributions still fluid, traders view outcomes as highly competitive and sensitive to training-camp performance, line combinations, and early-season results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGavin McKenna 28%
Ivar Stenberg 11%
Adam Novotný 5.3%
Viggo Björck 1.6%
$32,581 Vol.
$32,581 Vol.
Gavin McKenna
28%
Ivar Stenberg
11%
Adam Novotný
5%
Viggo Björck
2%
Carson Carels
1%
Tommy Bleyl
1%
Chase Reid
1%
Alberts Smits
1%
Keaton Verhoeff
<1%
Daxon Rudolph
<1%
JP Hurlbert
<1%
Caleb Malhotra
<1%
Mathis Preston
<1%
William Hakansson
<1%
Ethan Belchetz
<1%
Ilya Morozov
<1%
Alexander Command
<1%
Tynan Lawrence
<1%
Markus Ruck
<1%
Malte Gustafsson
<1%
Wyatt Cullen
<1%
Oscar Hemming
<1%
Marcus Nordmark
<1%
Oliver Suvanto
<1%
Nikita Klepov
<1%
Ryan Lin
<1%
Liam Ruck
<1%
Xavier Villeneuve
<1%
Elton Hermansson
<1%
Maddox Dagenais
<1%
Gavin McKenna 28%
Ivar Stenberg 11%
Adam Novotný 5.3%
Viggo Björck 1.6%
$32,581 Vol.
$32,581 Vol.
Gavin McKenna
28%
Ivar Stenberg
11%
Adam Novotný
5%
Viggo Björck
2%
Carson Carels
1%
Tommy Bleyl
1%
Chase Reid
1%
Alberts Smits
1%
Keaton Verhoeff
<1%
Daxon Rudolph
<1%
JP Hurlbert
<1%
Caleb Malhotra
<1%
Mathis Preston
<1%
William Hakansson
<1%
Ethan Belchetz
<1%
Ilya Morozov
<1%
Alexander Command
<1%
Tynan Lawrence
<1%
Markus Ruck
<1%
Malte Gustafsson
<1%
Wyatt Cullen
<1%
Oscar Hemming
<1%
Marcus Nordmark
<1%
Oliver Suvanto
<1%
Nikita Klepov
<1%
Ryan Lin
<1%
Liam Ruck
<1%
Xavier Villeneuve
<1%
Elton Hermansson
<1%
Maddox Dagenais
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 25, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 NHL Draft produced an unusually deep rookie class, leaving the Calder Trophy market tightly bunched with no dominant favorite ahead of the 2026-27 season. Gavin McKenna, the top overall pick by the Toronto Maple Leafs, leads at 27.5% implied probability due to his projected top-six role and power-play time, while Ivar Stenberg (11.0%) follows as the second overall selection expected to contribute immediately with the San Jose Sharks. Other high selections such as Porter Martone, Anton Frondell, Roman Kantserov, and Cole Hutson sit close behind, supported by strong junior, college, or international production and favorable team situations. With limited NHL experience across the group and ice-time distributions still fluid, traders view outcomes as highly competitive and sensitive to training-camp performance, line combinations, and early-season results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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