San Diego State enters its inaugural Pac-12 season under third-year head coach Sean Lewis coming off a 9-4 campaign that featured a stout defense and run-heavy offense. The Aztecs return key offensive pieces including quarterback Jayden Denegal, 1,000-yard rusher Lucky Sutton, and multiple wideouts, supporting expectations for continued ball-control production. However, massive roster turnover—particularly on defense with a new coordinator, the loss of all five 2025 secondary starters, and several edge rushers—creates uncertainty in a conference featuring road tests at UCLA, Toledo, Oregon State, and Boise State alongside winnable home games against Portland State, James Madison, Texas State, Fresno State, Washington State, and Utah State. A late flex game adds variability, while unsettled spots on the offensive line and at kicker further complicate projections. These factors shape the current 6.5–7.5 win total range as traders weigh offensive continuity against defensive rebuilding and elevated competition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Dec 12, 2026
5.5+ Wins
73%
6.5+ Wins
55%
7.5+ Wins
40%
8.5+ Wins
27%
9.5+ Wins
22%
$4,099 Vol.
5.5+ Wins
$1,170 Vol.
73%
6.5+ Wins
$435 Vol.
55%
7.5+ Wins
$493 Vol.
40%
8.5+ Wins
$856 Vol.
27%
9.5+ Wins
$1,145 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.San Diego State enters its inaugural Pac-12 season under third-year head coach Sean Lewis coming off a 9-4 campaign that featured a stout defense and run-heavy offense. The Aztecs return key offensive pieces including quarterback Jayden Denegal, 1,000-yard rusher Lucky Sutton, and multiple wideouts, supporting expectations for continued ball-control production. However, massive roster turnover—particularly on defense with a new coordinator, the loss of all five 2025 secondary starters, and several edge rushers—creates uncertainty in a conference featuring road tests at UCLA, Toledo, Oregon State, and Boise State alongside winnable home games against Portland State, James Madison, Texas State, Fresno State, Washington State, and Utah State. A late flex game adds variability, while unsettled spots on the offensive line and at kicker further complicate projections. These factors shape the current 6.5–7.5 win total range as traders weigh offensive continuity against defensive rebuilding and elevated competition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Volume
$4,099End Date
Dec 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 11:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.San Diego State enters its inaugural Pac-12 season under third-year head coach Sean Lewis coming off a 9-4 campaign that featured a stout defense and run-heavy offense. The Aztecs return key offensive pieces including quarterback Jayden Denegal, 1,000-yard rusher Lucky Sutton, and multiple wideouts, supporting expectations for continued ball-control production. However, massive roster turnover—particularly on defense with a new coordinator, the loss of all five 2025 secondary starters, and several edge rushers—creates uncertainty in a conference featuring road tests at UCLA, Toledo, Oregon State, and Boise State alongside winnable home games against Portland State, James Madison, Texas State, Fresno State, Washington State, and Utah State. A late flex game adds variability, while unsettled spots on the offensive line and at kicker further complicate projections. These factors shape the current 6.5–7.5 win total range as traders weigh offensive continuity against defensive rebuilding and elevated competition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,099End Date
Dec 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 11:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...San Diego State enters its inaugural Pac-12 season under third-year head coach Sean Lewis coming off a 9-4 campaign that featured a stout defense and run-heavy offense. The Aztecs return key offensive pieces including quarterback Jayden Denegal, 1,000-yard rusher Lucky Sutton, and multiple wideouts, supporting expectations for continued ball-control production. However, massive roster turnover—particularly on defense with a new coordinator, the loss of all five 2025 secondary starters, and several edge rushers—creates uncertainty in a conference featuring road tests at UCLA, Toledo, Oregon State, and Boise State alongside winnable home games against Portland State, James Madison, Texas State, Fresno State, Washington State, and Utah State. A late flex game adds variability, while unsettled spots on the offensive line and at kicker further complicate projections. These factors shape the current 6.5–7.5 win total range as traders weigh offensive continuity against defensive rebuilding and elevated competition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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