James Harden’s agreement to a three-year, $97 million contract with the Cleveland Cavaliers, including a player option and trade kicker, has driven the near-certain market positioning. Acquired from the Clippers at the February 2026 trade deadline for Darius Garland, the 11-time All-Star averaged roughly 20 points and 8 assists while helping Cleveland reach the Eastern Conference finals. He opted out of a $42.3 million player option in June specifically to pursue a longer-term deal with the team, delaying finalization only to preserve Cleveland’s cap flexibility for additions such as Peyton Watson via sign-and-trade. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed reports and Harden’s stated preference to remain. The outcome could shift only if unforeseen cap complications prevent official signing or an unexpected competing offer emerges before the deal is finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team
NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team
Cleveland Cavaliers 97.7%
San Antonio Spurs 1.3%
Toronto Raptors <1%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
$1,306,862 Vol.
$1,306,862 Vol.
Cleveland Cavaliers
98%
San Antonio Spurs
1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Golden State Warriors
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 97.7%
San Antonio Spurs 1.3%
Toronto Raptors <1%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
$1,306,862 Vol.
$1,306,862 Vol.
Cleveland Cavaliers
98%
San Antonio Spurs
1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Golden State Warriors
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Jun 22, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...James Harden’s agreement to a three-year, $97 million contract with the Cleveland Cavaliers, including a player option and trade kicker, has driven the near-certain market positioning. Acquired from the Clippers at the February 2026 trade deadline for Darius Garland, the 11-time All-Star averaged roughly 20 points and 8 assists while helping Cleveland reach the Eastern Conference finals. He opted out of a $42.3 million player option in June specifically to pursue a longer-term deal with the team, delaying finalization only to preserve Cleveland’s cap flexibility for additions such as Peyton Watson via sign-and-trade. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed reports and Harden’s stated preference to remain. The outcome could shift only if unforeseen cap complications prevent official signing or an unexpected competing offer emerges before the deal is finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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