Nashville SC’s league-leading 49 points and Vancouver Whitecaps’ 40-point Western pace, alongside Houston Dynamo, LAFC, and Chicago Fire clustered within striking distance, have kept the Coach of the Year market tightly bunched. Pablo Mastroeni, Greg Vanney, Dean Smith, and Marc Dos Santos sit near 25% implied probability because their sides have posted strong recent form, favorable goal differentials, and consistent results through 20-22 matchdays without any club separating decisively. Coaching changes at Inter Miami, ongoing roster adjustments, and head-to-head results among contenders continue to limit separation, while lower-priced names like B.J. Callaghan and Jesper Sørensen reflect solid but not dominant campaigns. The wisdom of crowds in this market reflects the even distribution of points and momentum across multiple teams heading into the final stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedB.J. Callaghan 32.6%
Marc Dos Santos 26.5%
Greg Vanney 24.3%
Jesper Sørensen 5.7%
$82,643 Vol.
$82,643 Vol.
B.J. Callaghan
21%
Marc Dos Santos
27%
Greg Vanney
24%
Jesper Sørensen
6%
Phil Neville
5%
Marco Donadel
5%
René Weiler
4%
Pascal Jansen
4%
Bradley Carnell
4%
Raphael Wicky
4%
Eric Quill
3%
Mikey Varas
3%
Javier Mascherano
3%
Matt Wells
3%
Yoann Damet
3%
Marko Mitrović
3%
Gregg Berhalter
3%
Bruce Arena
19%
Brian Schmetzer
3%
Óscar Pareja
3%
Pablo Mastroeni
25%
Michael Bradley
2%
Henrik Rydström
2%
Dean Smith
24%
Robin Fraser
1%
Ben Olsen
19%
Gerardo “Tata” Martino
1%
Nico Estévez
1%
Cameron Knowles
1%
Pat Noonan
1%
B.J. Callaghan 32.6%
Marc Dos Santos 26.5%
Greg Vanney 24.3%
Jesper Sørensen 5.7%
$82,643 Vol.
$82,643 Vol.
B.J. Callaghan
21%
Marc Dos Santos
27%
Greg Vanney
24%
Jesper Sørensen
6%
Phil Neville
5%
Marco Donadel
5%
René Weiler
4%
Pascal Jansen
4%
Bradley Carnell
4%
Raphael Wicky
4%
Eric Quill
3%
Mikey Varas
3%
Javier Mascherano
3%
Matt Wells
3%
Yoann Damet
3%
Marko Mitrović
3%
Gregg Berhalter
3%
Bruce Arena
19%
Brian Schmetzer
3%
Óscar Pareja
3%
Pablo Mastroeni
25%
Michael Bradley
2%
Henrik Rydström
2%
Dean Smith
24%
Robin Fraser
1%
Ben Olsen
19%
Gerardo “Tata” Martino
1%
Nico Estévez
1%
Cameron Knowles
1%
Pat Noonan
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nashville SC’s league-leading 49 points and Vancouver Whitecaps’ 40-point Western pace, alongside Houston Dynamo, LAFC, and Chicago Fire clustered within striking distance, have kept the Coach of the Year market tightly bunched. Pablo Mastroeni, Greg Vanney, Dean Smith, and Marc Dos Santos sit near 25% implied probability because their sides have posted strong recent form, favorable goal differentials, and consistent results through 20-22 matchdays without any club separating decisively. Coaching changes at Inter Miami, ongoing roster adjustments, and head-to-head results among contenders continue to limit separation, while lower-priced names like B.J. Callaghan and Jesper Sørensen reflect solid but not dominant campaigns. The wisdom of crowds in this market reflects the even distribution of points and momentum across multiple teams heading into the final stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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