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Sports·Baseball

MLB: AL Manager of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Manager of the Year
Sports·Baseball

MLB: AL Manager of the Year

Will Venable 63.7%

Kevin Cash 13.0%

A.J. Hinch 5.1%

Joe Espada 5.0%

Polymarket

$57,411 Vol.

Will Venable 63.7%

Kevin Cash 13.0%

A.J. Hinch 5.1%

Joe Espada 5.0%

Polymarket

$57,411 Vol.

Will Venable

$4,982 Vol.

64%

Kevin Cash

$19,103 Vol.

8%

A.J. Hinch

$569 Vol.

5%

Joe Espada

$349 Vol.

5%

Derek Shelton

$2,318 Vol.

4%

Craig Albernaz

$3,172 Vol.

4%

Dan Wilson

$6,189 Vol.

3%

Stephen Vogt

$1,547 Vol.

2%

Mark Kotsay

$2,168 Vol.

2%

Skip Schumaker

$900 Vol.

1%

John Schneider

$417 Vol.

1%

Aaron Boone

$558 Vol.

1%

Kurt Suzuki

$257 Vol.

1%

Alex Cora

$14,625 Vol.

<1%

Matt Quatraro

$258 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Will Venable leads the AL Manager of the Year market at 61.8% implied probability, reflecting the Chicago White Sox's sharp turnaround under his second season. The club improved from a 60-102 finish in 2025 to a .520-plus mark and AL Central contention through mid-August 2026, driven by stronger in-game decisions, roster execution, and run differential gains despite pitching limitations. Kevin Cash sits at 8.5% amid the Tampa Bay Rays' consistent AL East pace and strong overall record, though prior awards temper the narrative edge. A.J. Hinch, Joe Espada, and others trail in the low single digits, tied to more modest team results or smaller deviations from preseason expectations. Recent form, standings positioning, and the magnitude of the White Sox improvement continue to anchor trader consensus.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$57,411
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Will Venable leads the AL Manager of the Year market at 61.8% implied probability, reflecting the Chicago White Sox's sharp turnaround under his second season. The club improved from a 60-102 finish in 2025 to a .520-plus mark and AL Central contention through mid-August 2026, driven by stronger in-game decisions, roster execution, and run differential gains despite pitching limitations. Kevin Cash sits at 8.5% amid the Tampa Bay Rays' consistent AL East pace and strong overall record, though prior awards temper the narrative edge. A.J. Hinch, Joe Espada, and others trail in the low single digits, tied to more modest team results or smaller deviations from preseason expectations. Recent form, standings positioning, and the magnitude of the White Sox improvement continue to anchor trader consensus.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$57,411
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: AL Manager of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Will Venable" at 64%, followed by "Kevin Cash" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" has generated $57.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: AL Manager of the Year," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" is "Will Venable" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kevin Cash" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.