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icon for MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

icon for MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

Cam Schlittler 62.3%

Dylan Cease 34.5%

Sonny Gray 2.1%

Logan Gilbert <1%

Polymarket

$1,266,710 Vol.

Cam Schlittler 62.3%

Dylan Cease 34.5%

Sonny Gray 2.1%

Logan Gilbert <1%

Polymarket

$1,266,710 Vol.

Tarik Skubal

$14,852 Vol.

<1%

Garrett Crochet

$3,339 Vol.

<1%

Jacob deGrom

$59,236 Vol.

<1%

Cole Ragans

$4,293 Vol.

<1%

Hunter Brown

$657 Vol.

<1%

Max Fried

$485,068 Vol.

<1%

Bryan Woo

$3,649 Vol.

<1%

Logan Gilbert

$530,444 Vol.

1%

Kyle Bradish

$619 Vol.

<1%

Joe Ryan

$4,372 Vol.

<1%

Ranger Suarez

$598 Vol.

<1%

Nathan Eovaldi

$1,407 Vol.

<1%

Dylan Cease

$20,631 Vol.

35%

George Kirby

$1,624 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Rodón

$950 Vol.

<1%

Kevin Gausman

$1,686 Vol.

<1%

MacKenzie Gore

$917 Vol.

<1%

Jose Soriano

$2,800 Vol.

<1%

Pablo Lopez

$32,706 Vol.

<1%

Gavin Williams

$2,870 Vol.

<1%

Bryce Miller

$1,098 Vol.

<1%

Cam Schlittler

$58,828 Vol.

62%

Gerrit Cole

$590 Vol.

<1%

Parker Messick

$28,526 Vol.

<1%

Drew Rasmussen

$1,777 Vol.

<1%

Sean Burke

$1,033 Vol.

<1%

Sonny Gray

$2,141 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cam Schlittler holds the edge in the AL Cy Young race through late August 2026 due to his league-leading 2.16 ERA, 158 innings pitched, 0.96 WHIP, and consistent run prevention across 27 starts for the Yankees, including frequent quality outings and strong road splits. Dylan Cease has narrowed the gap significantly as the Blue Jays ace with an AL-high 209 strikeouts, 2.37 ERA, and elite K/9 rate, highlighted by recent dominant stretches featuring near-no-hitters, a complete-game shutout, and strong performances in head-to-head matchups. Expert polls and metrics such as AXE reflect a razor-thin contest between the two, with Schlittler maintaining a slight lead in volume and traditional stats while Cease excels in swing-and-miss production. The rest of the field, including Sonny Gray and Drew Rasmussen, trails well behind and would require substantial late-season shifts to contend. Trader consensus prices align with this two-horse dynamic entering the final month.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,266,710
End Date
Nov 12, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cam Schlittler holds the edge in the AL Cy Young race through late August 2026 due to his league-leading 2.16 ERA, 158 innings pitched, 0.96 WHIP, and consistent run prevention across 27 starts for the Yankees, including frequent quality outings and strong road splits. Dylan Cease has narrowed the gap significantly as the Blue Jays ace with an AL-high 209 strikeouts, 2.37 ERA, and elite K/9 rate, highlighted by recent dominant stretches featuring near-no-hitters, a complete-game shutout, and strong performances in head-to-head matchups. Expert polls and metrics such as AXE reflect a razor-thin contest between the two, with Schlittler maintaining a slight lead in volume and traditional stats while Cease excels in swing-and-miss production. The rest of the field, including Sonny Gray and Drew Rasmussen, trails well behind and would require substantial late-season shifts to contend. Trader consensus prices align with this two-horse dynamic entering the final month.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,266,710
End Date
Nov 12, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 27 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cam Schlittler" at 62%, followed by "Dylan Cease" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner," browse the 27 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" is "Cam Schlittler" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dylan Cease" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.