Toluca leads trader pricing at 28% implied probability due to its status as the top-ranked Liga MX side with recent domestic titles and strong Phase One results in the expanded 36-team format. Chicago Fire FC sits second at 15.5% after a perfect 3-0 group stage run capped by a dramatic stoppage-time win, fueled by Robert Lewandowski’s summer arrival and Gregg Berhalter’s side’s broader 2026 momentum. Club América, Real Salt Lake, Columbus Crew, and León cluster between 11-15% as traditional powers with solid rosters and knockout upside, while Monterrey and Austin FC trail slightly amid tougher quarterfinal paths. The single-elimination bracket from late August onward keeps the field wide open, with home/away factors, recent form, and individual matchups like Toluca versus Austin or Chicago versus Monterrey shaping further shifts in consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChicago Fire FC 15%
Toluca 15%
América 15%
Real Salt Lake 12%
Chicago Fire FC
15%
Toluca
16%
América
15%
Real Salt Lake
12%
Columbus Crew
12%
León
11%
Monterrey
10%
Austin FC
7%
Other
3%
Chicago Fire FC 15%
Toluca 15%
América 15%
Real Salt Lake 12%
Chicago Fire FC
15%
Toluca
16%
América
15%
Real Salt Lake
12%
Columbus Crew
12%
León
11%
Monterrey
10%
Austin FC
7%
Other
3%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Leagues Cup per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Leagues Cup is cancelled, postponed after September 20, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from Leagues Cup; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Leagues Cup per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Leagues Cup is cancelled, postponed after September 20, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from Leagues Cup; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Toluca leads trader pricing at 28% implied probability due to its status as the top-ranked Liga MX side with recent domestic titles and strong Phase One results in the expanded 36-team format. Chicago Fire FC sits second at 15.5% after a perfect 3-0 group stage run capped by a dramatic stoppage-time win, fueled by Robert Lewandowski’s summer arrival and Gregg Berhalter’s side’s broader 2026 momentum. Club América, Real Salt Lake, Columbus Crew, and León cluster between 11-15% as traditional powers with solid rosters and knockout upside, while Monterrey and Austin FC trail slightly amid tougher quarterfinal paths. The single-elimination bracket from late August onward keeps the field wide open, with home/away factors, recent form, and individual matchups like Toluca versus Austin or Chicago versus Monterrey shaping further shifts in consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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