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Tech·Apple

How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost?

icon for How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost?
Tech·Apple

How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost?

$11,716 Vol.

Mar 31, 2027
Polymarket

$11,716 Vol.

Polymarket

$1000+

$1,090 Vol.

98%

$1100+

$3,488 Vol.

93%

$1200+

$2,422 Vol.

76%

$1300+

$4,717 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release. If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only). If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Apple faces significant pressure on iPhone 18 Pro pricing from sharply higher DRAM and NAND costs tied to AI-driven memory demand, prompting CEO Tim Cook to describe price increases as unavoidable. Recent Bloomberg reporting from Mark Gurman indicates Apple will likely limit the base 256GB model to a $100 hike—reaching $1,199—by absorbing part of the bill-of-materials increase, mirroring the modest adjustments already applied by Samsung and Google to stay competitive. Earlier analyst estimates ranged up to $300 higher to protect margins, yet Apple appears focused on avoiding excessive sticker shock ahead of the expected September 2026 launch. Traders should watch for final storage-tier pricing and any last-minute margin decisions that could shift outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.

If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only).

If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11,716
End Date
Mar 31, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 8:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release. If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only). If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release. If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only). If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Apple faces significant pressure on iPhone 18 Pro pricing from sharply higher DRAM and NAND costs tied to AI-driven memory demand, prompting CEO Tim Cook to describe price increases as unavoidable. Recent Bloomberg reporting from Mark Gurman indicates Apple will likely limit the base 256GB model to a $100 hike—reaching $1,199—by absorbing part of the bill-of-materials increase, mirroring the modest adjustments already applied by Samsung and Google to stay competitive. Earlier analyst estimates ranged up to $300 higher to protect margins, yet Apple appears focused on avoiding excessive sticker shock ahead of the expected September 2026 launch. Traders should watch for final storage-tier pricing and any last-minute margin decisions that could shift outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.

If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only).

If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11,716
End Date
Mar 31, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 8:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release. If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only). If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$1000+" at 98%, followed by "$1100+" at 93%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost?" has generated $11.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost?" is "$1000+" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$1100+" at 93%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.