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icon for DP World Tour: British Masters First Round Leader

DP World Tour: British Masters First Round Leader

icon for DP World Tour: British Masters First Round Leader

DP World Tour: British Masters First Round Leader

Ignacio Elvira 99.5%

Luke Donald 1.0%

Luke List 1.0%

M. J. Daffue 1.0%

Polymarket

$400 Vol.

Ignacio Elvira 99.5%

Luke Donald 1.0%

Luke List 1.0%

M. J. Daffue 1.0%

Polymarket

$400 Vol.

Luke Donald

$5 Vol.

No

Luke List

$5 Vol.

No

M. J. Daffue

$5 Vol.

No

Harley Smith

$5 Vol.

No

Harry Hall

$0 Vol.

No

Haydn McCullen

$5 Vol.

No

Hennie Du Plessis

$0 Vol.

No

Hugo Townsend

$5 Vol.

No

Jacob Skov Olesen

$0 Vol.

No

James Morrison

$5 Vol.

No

Jason Scrivener

$5 Vol.

No

Jeff Winther

$5 Vol.

No

Jens Dantorp

$5 Vol.

No

Joel Girrbach

$5 Vol.

No

Johannes Veerman

$5 Vol.

No

John Gough

$5 Vol.

No

John Parry

$0 Vol.

No

Adria Arnaus

$5 Vol.

No

Adrian Meronk

$5 Vol.

No

Albin Bergstroem

$5 Vol.

No

Alejandro Del Rey

$5 Vol.

No

Alexander Levy

$5 Vol.

No

Andreas Halvorsen

$5 Vol.

No

Andres Gallegos

$5 Vol.

No

Andy Sullivan

$0 Vol.

No

Angel Ayora

$0 Vol.

No

Angel Hidalgo

$5 Vol.

No

Brandon Robinson-Thompson

$5 Vol.

No

Brandon Stone

$5 Vol.

No

Calum Hill

$0 Vol.

No

Daniel Rodrigues

$5 Vol.

No

Daniel van Tonder

$5 Vol.

No

Darius van Driel

$5 Vol.

No

David Law

$5 Vol.

No

Frederico Biondi

$5 Vol.

No

Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano

$5 Vol.

No

Haotong Li

$5 Vol.

No

Ignacio Elvira

$5 Vol.

Yes

Ivan Cantero

$5 Vol.

No

J. C. Ritchie

$5 Vol.

No

Jack Buchanan

$5 Vol.

No

Jack Senior

$5 Vol.

No

Jayden Schaper

$0 Vol.

No

Jeong-Weon Ko

$5 Vol.

No

Joakim Lagergren

$5 Vol.

No

Joost Luiten

$5 Vol.

No

Jordan Gumberg

$5 Vol.

No

Jordan Loft

$5 Vol.

No

Jorge Campillo

$5 Vol.

No

Joseph Dean

$5 Vol.

No

Joshua Berry

$0 Vol.

No

Keita Nakajima

$0 Vol.

No

Kiradech Aphibarnrat

$0 Vol.

No

Kota Kaneko

$5 Vol.

No

Anthony Quayle

$5 Vol.

No

Antoine Rozner

$0 Vol.

No

Ashun Wu

$5 Vol.

No

Ben Schmidt

$5 Vol.

No

Benjamin Follett-Smith

$5 Vol.

No

Bernd Wiesberger

$5 Vol.

No

Cameron Adam

$5 Vol.

No

Casey Jarvis

$0 Vol.

No

Clement Charmasson

$5 Vol.

No

Connor McKinney

$5 Vol.

No

Connor Syme

$5 Vol.

No

Daniel Bradbury

$0 Vol.

No

Daniel Brown

$0 Vol.

No

Daniel Gavins

$5 Vol.

No

Daniel Hillier

$0 Vol.

No

Daniel Young

$5 Vol.

No

Danny Willett

$5 Vol.

No

David Micheluzzi

$5 Vol.

No

David Ravetto

$5 Vol.

No

Davis Bryant

$5 Vol.

No

Dylan Frittelli

$5 Vol.

No

Dylan Naidoo

$5 Vol.

No

Eddie Pepperell

$5 Vol.

No

Edoardo Molinari

$5 Vol.

No

Erik van Rooyen

$5 Vol.

No

Euan Walker

$5 Vol.

No

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

$0 Vol.

No

Ewen Ferguson

$0 Vol.

No

Fabrizio Zanotti

$5 Vol.

No

Felix Mory

$5 Vol.

No

Filippo Celli

$5 Vol.

No

Francesco Laporta

$5 Vol.

No

Freddy Schott

$5 Vol.

No

Frederic Lacroix

$5 Vol.

No

Grant Forrest

$5 Vol.

No

Gregorio De Leo

$5 Vol.

No

Guido Migliozzi

$5 Vol.

No

Julien Guerrier

$0 Vol.

No

Jung-Hwan Lee

$5 Vol.

No

Kazuma Kobori

$5 Vol.

No

Kyoung-Hoon Lee

$5 Vol.

No

Louis de Jager

$5 Vol.

No

Manuel Elvira

$5 Vol.

No

Marcel Schneider

$5 Vol.

No

Marcel Siem

$5 Vol.

No

Marco Penge

$0 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 British Masters with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 British Masters is cancelled, postponed after September 13, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.**Ignacio "Nacho" Elvira holds a dominant position as the implied favorite for first-round leader at the 2026 Husqvarna British Masters at The Belfry, reflecting his strong early scoring and current form on the DP World Tour.** Elvira has posted low rounds early in the event, including a 65 or strong midway scores around 4-under through 12 holes in round 1, positioning him atop or near the top of the leaderboard ahead of players like Matthew Jordan, Shaun Norris, and others still on the course. His recent victories, including the 2026 Dubai Invitational, combined with solid approach play and putting on the Brabazon course, underpin trader consensus around the 90% implied probability. Other entrants, many at lower probabilities, face the challenge of needing substantial birdie runs in remaining holes to match or surpass him. Potential shifts could arise from late surges by in-form competitors, variable weather at the venue, or scoring volatility typical in stroke-play opening rounds on the DP World Tour.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 British Masters with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 British Masters is cancelled, postponed after September 13, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$400
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 British Masters with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 British Masters is cancelled, postponed after September 13, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 British Masters with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 British Masters is cancelled, postponed after September 13, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.**Ignacio "Nacho" Elvira holds a dominant position as the implied favorite for first-round leader at the 2026 Husqvarna British Masters at The Belfry, reflecting his strong early scoring and current form on the DP World Tour.** Elvira has posted low rounds early in the event, including a 65 or strong midway scores around 4-under through 12 holes in round 1, positioning him atop or near the top of the leaderboard ahead of players like Matthew Jordan, Shaun Norris, and others still on the course. His recent victories, including the 2026 Dubai Invitational, combined with solid approach play and putting on the Brabazon course, underpin trader consensus around the 90% implied probability. Other entrants, many at lower probabilities, face the challenge of needing substantial birdie runs in remaining holes to match or surpass him. Potential shifts could arise from late surges by in-form competitors, variable weather at the venue, or scoring volatility typical in stroke-play opening rounds on the DP World Tour.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 British Masters with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 British Masters is cancelled, postponed after September 13, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$400
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 British Masters with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 British Masters is cancelled, postponed after September 13, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"DP World Tour: British Masters First Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 100+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ignacio Elvira" at 100%, followed by "Luke Donald" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"DP World Tour: British Masters First Round Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "DP World Tour: British Masters First Round Leader," browse the 100+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "DP World Tour: British Masters First Round Leader" is "Ignacio Elvira" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Luke Donald" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "DP World Tour: British Masters First Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.