**Several clubs project to finish in a narrow band around 36–42 points, creating a crowded field for 15th place.** Mainz 05, Schalke 04, Hamburger SV, Werder Bremen, and Elversberg lead the market because models such as Opta place them in overlapping ranges near the relegation playoff line, with limited separation from Augsburg, Union Berlin, Gladbach, and Köln. The three promoted sides—Schalke, Elversberg, and Paderborn—add uncertainty after limited top-flight experience, though Schalke’s Bundesliga returns and veteran presence provide a modest buffer. Werder’s recent 15th-place finish and HSV’s consolidation challenges further tighten the group. With no dominant favorite and many sides sharing comparable squad depth, form, and fixture difficulty, small results swings keep probabilities clustered and the 15th-place outcome highly fluid early in the 2026-27 campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWerder Bremen 50%
FC Schalke 04 45%
Mainz 05 45%
Borussia Mönchengladbach 45%
Werder Bremen
50%
FC Schalke 04
45%
Mainz 05
45%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
45%
FC Augsburg
44%
Union Berlin
44%
1. FC Köln
44%
Hamburger SV
43%
SV Elversberg
43%
TSG Hoffenheim
43%
SC Paderborn
36%
SC Freiburg
36%
VfB Stuttgart
36%
Eintracht Frankfurt
36%
Bayer Leverkusen
36%
RB Leipzig
31%
Borussia Dortmund
26%
Bayern Munich
21%
Werder Bremen 50%
FC Schalke 04 45%
Mainz 05 45%
Borussia Mönchengladbach 45%
Werder Bremen
50%
FC Schalke 04
45%
Mainz 05
45%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
45%
FC Augsburg
44%
Union Berlin
44%
1. FC Köln
44%
Hamburger SV
43%
SV Elversberg
43%
TSG Hoffenheim
43%
SC Paderborn
36%
SC Freiburg
36%
VfB Stuttgart
36%
Eintracht Frankfurt
36%
Bayer Leverkusen
36%
RB Leipzig
31%
Borussia Dortmund
26%
Bayern Munich
21%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 15th in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 15th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 15th in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 15th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Several clubs project to finish in a narrow band around 36–42 points, creating a crowded field for 15th place.** Mainz 05, Schalke 04, Hamburger SV, Werder Bremen, and Elversberg lead the market because models such as Opta place them in overlapping ranges near the relegation playoff line, with limited separation from Augsburg, Union Berlin, Gladbach, and Köln. The three promoted sides—Schalke, Elversberg, and Paderborn—add uncertainty after limited top-flight experience, though Schalke’s Bundesliga returns and veteran presence provide a modest buffer. Werder’s recent 15th-place finish and HSV’s consolidation challenges further tighten the group. With no dominant favorite and many sides sharing comparable squad depth, form, and fixture difficulty, small results swings keep probabilities clustered and the 15th-place outcome highly fluid early in the 2026-27 campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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