Jesper de Jong enters the US Open first-round matchup against Francesco Passaro as the higher-ranked player at approximately No. 99, with a career edge in their head-to-head record of 2-0, though both prior meetings occurred on clay. De Jong’s 2026 results show inconsistency, including first-round exits at Cincinnati and Winston-Salem on hard courts. Passaro, ranked around No. 207 after slipping from a career-high of 89, arrives with strong momentum after capturing three consecutive qualifying victories at Flushing Meadows, highlighted by a 6-4, 6-2 defeat of Shintaro Mochizuki. The hard-court setting and Passaro’s recent form on the surface represent the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability gap reflected in market pricing.
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Jesper de Jong – Francesco Passaro
Moneyline
$1.4K Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' if Jesper de Jong advances against Francesco Passaro.
This market will resolve to 'Francesco Passaro' if Francesco Passaro advances against Jesper de Jong.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Jesper de Jong – Francesco Passaro
Moneyline
$1.4K Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' if Jesper de Jong advances against Francesco Passaro.
This market will resolve to 'Francesco Passaro' if Francesco Passaro advances against Jesper de Jong.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Jesper de Jong enters the US Open first-round matchup against Francesco Passaro as the higher-ranked player at approximately No. 99, with a career edge in their head-to-head record of 2-0, though both prior meetings occurred on clay. De Jong’s 2026 results show inconsistency, including first-round exits at Cincinnati and Winston-Salem on hard courts. Passaro, ranked around No. 207 after slipping from a career-high of 89, arrives with strong momentum after capturing three consecutive qualifying victories at Flushing Meadows, highlighted by a 6-4, 6-2 defeat of Shintaro Mochizuki. The hard-court setting and Passaro’s recent form on the surface represent the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability gap reflected in market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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