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Sports·Games

Melbourne Demons vs. Carlton Blues

icon for Melbourne Demons vs. Carlton Blues
Sports·Games

Melbourne Demons vs. Carlton Blues

Aug 16

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Aug 22

Melbourne Demons

55% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Melbourne Demons

55% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market refers to the AFL match between Melbourne Demons and Carlton Blues, scheduled for August 29 at 5:35AM ET. This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Carlton Blues" if Carlton Blues is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Melbourne hosts Carlton in the AFL wildcard final at the MCG, where the Demons hold a narrow 52.5% implied probability driven by home-ground familiarity and a stronger regular-season record. Carlton enters with strong momentum from an extended unbeaten run capped by a dominant victory over ladder leaders Fremantle, while key returns for Will Hayward and Nick Haynes bolster their lineup. Melbourne faces potential absences or minutes restrictions around knee concerns for players including Matt Jefferson, adding uncertainty to their forward structure. Both sides feature established midfield depth and contested-ball strength, with the narrow pricing reflecting Carlton’s recent form offsetting the venue advantage and the high-stakes elimination context that rewards execution over the full four quarters.

This market refers to the AFL match between Melbourne Demons and Carlton Blues, scheduled for August 29 at 5:35AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win.

This market will resolve to "Carlton Blues" if Carlton Blues is officially credited with the match win.

The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:07 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.afl.com.au/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market refers to the AFL match between Melbourne Demons and Carlton Blues, scheduled for August 29 at 5:35AM ET. This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Carlton Blues" if Carlton Blues is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL match between Melbourne Demons and Carlton Blues, scheduled for August 29 at 5:35AM ET. This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Carlton Blues" if Carlton Blues is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Melbourne hosts Carlton in the AFL wildcard final at the MCG, where the Demons hold a narrow 52.5% implied probability driven by home-ground familiarity and a stronger regular-season record. Carlton enters with strong momentum from an extended unbeaten run capped by a dominant victory over ladder leaders Fremantle, while key returns for Will Hayward and Nick Haynes bolster their lineup. Melbourne faces potential absences or minutes restrictions around knee concerns for players including Matt Jefferson, adding uncertainty to their forward structure. Both sides feature established midfield depth and contested-ball strength, with the narrow pricing reflecting Carlton’s recent form offsetting the venue advantage and the high-stakes elimination context that rewards execution over the full four quarters.

This market refers to the AFL match between Melbourne Demons and Carlton Blues, scheduled for August 29 at 5:35AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win.

This market will resolve to "Carlton Blues" if Carlton Blues is officially credited with the match win.

The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:07 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.afl.com.au/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market refers to the AFL match between Melbourne Demons and Carlton Blues, scheduled for August 29 at 5:35AM ET. This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Carlton Blues" if Carlton Blues is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Melbourne Demons vs. Carlton Blues" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Melbourne Demons vs. Carlton Blues" at 55%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Melbourne Demons vs. Carlton Blues" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Melbourne Demons vs. Carlton Blues," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Melbourne Demons vs. Carlton Blues" is "Melbourne Demons vs. Carlton Blues" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Melbourne Demons vs. Carlton Blues" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.