Aryna Sabalenka holds the narrowest edge in the 2026 US Open women’s singles market as the WTA No. 1 and back-to-back champion, yet the tightly bunched probabilities among the top contenders reflect the absence of a dominant force on hard courts this season. Recent hard-court results, including Iga Swiatek’s Toronto title and Coco Gauff’s strong ranking climb, have kept both within striking distance, while Jessica Pegula and Mirra Andreeva occupy key positions in the current top five. Elena Rybakina’s late Achilles concern after Cincinnati has tempered expectations for the No. 2 player. With the main draw beginning August 30 and multiple players posting solid recent form, the field remains wide open through the early rounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 21%
Coco Gauff 15.3%
Iga Swiatek 15%
Naomi Osaka 6.9%
$6,979,355 Vol.
$6,979,355 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Aryna Sabalenka
21%
Coco Gauff
15%
Iga Swiatek
15%
Naomi Osaka
7%
Elena Rybakina
7%
Mirra Andreeva
6%
Jessica Pegula
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Alexandra Eala
4%
Linda Noskova
3%
Karolina Muchova
2%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Madison Keys
1%
Barbora Krejcikova
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Tereza Valentova
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Marie Bouzkova
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Donna Vekic
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Xiyu Wang
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Victoria Mboko
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 21%
Coco Gauff 15.3%
Iga Swiatek 15%
Naomi Osaka 6.9%
$6,979,355 Vol.
$6,979,355 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Aryna Sabalenka
$72,490 Vol.
21%
Coco Gauff
$68,212 Vol.
15%
Iga Swiatek
$53,048 Vol.
15%
Naomi Osaka
$38,618 Vol.
7%
Elena Rybakina
$129,238 Vol.
7%
Mirra Andreeva
$63,075 Vol.
6%
Jessica Pegula
$118,977 Vol.
5%
Amanda Anisimova
$112,858 Vol.
4%
Alexandra Eala
$304,744 Vol.
4%
Linda Noskova
$36,443 Vol.
3%
Karolina Muchova
$51,274 Vol.
2%
Elina Svitolina
$44,339 Vol.
2%
Madison Keys
$40,369 Vol.
1%
Barbora Krejcikova
$553,705 Vol.
1%
Diana Shnaider
$61,366 Vol.
1%
Belinda Bencic
$77,776 Vol.
1%
Emma Navarro
$57,916 Vol.
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
$59,674 Vol.
1%
Elise Mertens
$57,890 Vol.
1%
Qinwen Zheng
$274,402 Vol.
1%
Jasmine Paolini
$39,686 Vol.
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
$46,646 Vol.
1%
Tereza Valentova
$567,626 Vol.
<1%
Paula Badosa
$37,714 Vol.
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
$449,752 Vol.
<1%
Marie Bouzkova
$52,093 Vol.
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
$39,928 Vol.
<1%
Clara Tauson
$30,067 Vol.
<1%
Donna Vekic
$148,758 Vol.
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
$30,049 Vol.
<1%
Xiyu Wang
$1,052,092 Vol.
<1%
Sofia Kenin
$198,965 Vol.
<1%
Maya Joint
$47,519 Vol.
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
$48,682 Vol.
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
$59,495 Vol.
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
$40,239 Vol.
<1%
Victoria Mboko
$44,940 Vol.
<1%
Emma Raducanu
$78,997 Vol.
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
$19,177 Vol.
<1%
Katie Boulter
$1,670,517 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka holds the narrowest edge in the 2026 US Open women’s singles market as the WTA No. 1 and back-to-back champion, yet the tightly bunched probabilities among the top contenders reflect the absence of a dominant force on hard courts this season. Recent hard-court results, including Iga Swiatek’s Toronto title and Coco Gauff’s strong ranking climb, have kept both within striking distance, while Jessica Pegula and Mirra Andreeva occupy key positions in the current top five. Elena Rybakina’s late Achilles concern after Cincinnati has tempered expectations for the No. 2 player. With the main draw beginning August 30 and multiple players posting solid recent form, the field remains wide open through the early rounds.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Volume
$6,979,355End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka holds the narrowest edge in the 2026 US Open women’s singles market as the WTA No. 1 and back-to-back champion, yet the tightly bunched probabilities among the top contenders reflect the absence of a dominant force on hard courts this season. Recent hard-court results, including Iga Swiatek’s Toronto title and Coco Gauff’s strong ranking climb, have kept both within striking distance, while Jessica Pegula and Mirra Andreeva occupy key positions in the current top five. Elena Rybakina’s late Achilles concern after Cincinnati has tempered expectations for the No. 2 player. With the main draw beginning August 30 and multiple players posting solid recent form, the field remains wide open through the early rounds.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,979,355End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka holds the narrowest edge in the 2026 US Open women’s singles market as the WTA No. 1 and back-to-back champion, yet the tightly bunched probabilities among the top contenders reflect the absence of a dominant force on hard courts this season. Recent hard-court results, including Iga Swiatek’s Toronto title and Coco Gauff’s strong ranking climb, have kept both within striking distance, while Jessica Pegula and Mirra Andreeva occupy key positions in the current top five. Elena Rybakina’s late Achilles concern after Cincinnati has tempered expectations for the No. 2 player. With the main draw beginning August 30 and multiple players posting solid recent form, the field remains wide open through the early rounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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