Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and current world No. 1, yet recent inconsistencies on hard courts—marked by round-of-16 exits at Toronto and Cincinnati after strong early-season results at Indian Wells and Miami—have tempered her implied probability at 21.5%. Coco Gauff and Iga Swiatek, at 15.8% and 14.5%, have gained ground through recent hard-court titles and deep runs, while Jessica Pegula’s consistency and Elena Rybakina’s ankle concerns further compress the top tier. This parity among multiple in-form contenders, combined with the WTA’s depth on fast surfaces, sustains the tight distribution across leading outcomes heading into the draw.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 22%
Coco Gauff 15.8%
Iga Swiatek 15%
Jessica Pegula 6.9%
$7,246,982 Vol.
$7,246,982 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Coco Gauff
16%
Iga Swiatek
15%
Jessica Pegula
7%
Naomi Osaka
7%
Mirra Andreeva
6%
Elena Rybakina
6%
Amanda Anisimova
5%
Alexandra Eala
3%
Karolina Muchova
3%
Linda Noskova
2%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Madison Keys
1%
Barbora Krejcikova
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
Jasmine Paolini
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Marie Bouzkova
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Tereza Valentova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Donna Vekic
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Xiyu Wang
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Victoria Mboko
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 22%
Coco Gauff 15.8%
Iga Swiatek 15%
Jessica Pegula 6.9%
$7,246,982 Vol.
$7,246,982 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Aryna Sabalenka
$84,532 Vol.
22%
Coco Gauff
$92,341 Vol.
16%
Iga Swiatek
$57,152 Vol.
15%
Jessica Pegula
$134,076 Vol.
7%
Naomi Osaka
$66,870 Vol.
7%
Mirra Andreeva
$72,294 Vol.
6%
Elena Rybakina
$150,763 Vol.
6%
Amanda Anisimova
$119,512 Vol.
5%
Alexandra Eala
$318,321 Vol.
3%
Karolina Muchova
$63,110 Vol.
3%
Linda Noskova
$41,398 Vol.
2%
Elina Svitolina
$47,195 Vol.
2%
Madison Keys
$44,198 Vol.
1%
Barbora Krejcikova
$557,973 Vol.
1%
Belinda Bencic
$88,800 Vol.
1%
Diana Shnaider
$72,621 Vol.
1%
Elise Mertens
$61,394 Vol.
1%
Emma Navarro
$60,249 Vol.
1%
Qinwen Zheng
$288,632 Vol.
<1%
Jasmine Paolini
$40,325 Vol.
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
$61,541 Vol.
<1%
Marie Bouzkova
$57,190 Vol.
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
$454,936 Vol.
<1%
Tereza Valentova
$571,719 Vol.
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
$49,131 Vol.
<1%
Paula Badosa
$39,886 Vol.
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
$43,966 Vol.
<1%
Clara Tauson
$34,765 Vol.
<1%
Donna Vekic
$151,513 Vol.
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
$37,934 Vol.
<1%
Sofia Kenin
$199,405 Vol.
<1%
Maya Joint
$47,906 Vol.
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
$20,040 Vol.
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
$53,402 Vol.
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
$59,495 Vol.
<1%
Xiyu Wang
$1,057,705 Vol.
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
$40,239 Vol.
<1%
Victoria Mboko
$54,940 Vol.
<1%
Emma Raducanu
$78,997 Vol.
<1%
Katie Boulter
$1,670,517 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and current world No. 1, yet recent inconsistencies on hard courts—marked by round-of-16 exits at Toronto and Cincinnati after strong early-season results at Indian Wells and Miami—have tempered her implied probability at 21.5%. Coco Gauff and Iga Swiatek, at 15.8% and 14.5%, have gained ground through recent hard-court titles and deep runs, while Jessica Pegula’s consistency and Elena Rybakina’s ankle concerns further compress the top tier. This parity among multiple in-form contenders, combined with the WTA’s depth on fast surfaces, sustains the tight distribution across leading outcomes heading into the draw.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Volume
$7,246,982End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and current world No. 1, yet recent inconsistencies on hard courts—marked by round-of-16 exits at Toronto and Cincinnati after strong early-season results at Indian Wells and Miami—have tempered her implied probability at 21.5%. Coco Gauff and Iga Swiatek, at 15.8% and 14.5%, have gained ground through recent hard-court titles and deep runs, while Jessica Pegula’s consistency and Elena Rybakina’s ankle concerns further compress the top tier. This parity among multiple in-form contenders, combined with the WTA’s depth on fast surfaces, sustains the tight distribution across leading outcomes heading into the draw.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,246,982End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and current world No. 1, yet recent inconsistencies on hard courts—marked by round-of-16 exits at Toronto and Cincinnati after strong early-season results at Indian Wells and Miami—have tempered her implied probability at 21.5%. Coco Gauff and Iga Swiatek, at 15.8% and 14.5%, have gained ground through recent hard-court titles and deep runs, while Jessica Pegula’s consistency and Elena Rybakina’s ankle concerns further compress the top tier. This parity among multiple in-form contenders, combined with the WTA’s depth on fast surfaces, sustains the tight distribution across leading outcomes heading into the draw.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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