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Sports·Formula 1

F1 Drivers' Champion

icon for F1 Drivers' Champion
Sports·Formula 1

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli 74.5%

Lando Norris 8.4%

Lewis Hamilton 6.6%

George Russell 6.5%

Polymarket

$201,711,024 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 74.5%

Lando Norris 8.4%

Lewis Hamilton 6.6%

George Russell 6.5%

Polymarket

$201,711,024 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$4,056,710 Vol.

75%

Lando Norris

$6,720,985 Vol.

8%

Lewis Hamilton

$5,281,263 Vol.

7%

George Russell

$2,667,222 Vol.

6%

Charles Leclerc

$5,230,741 Vol.

2%

Max Verstappen

$5,982,895 Vol.

1%

Oscar Piastri

$6,387,483 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Alonso

$9,133,353 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$9,498,035 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$8,459,973 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$11,500,594 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$10,709,345 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$12,039,183 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$11,087,465 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$11,786,870 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$9,362,850 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$11,729,442 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$12,888,054 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$10,915,959 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$12,214,867 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$11,865,139 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$12,192,596 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli holds a commanding 59-point lead in the 2026 Drivers’ Championship with 242 points after 12 rounds, built on six wins and consistent podium finishes for Mercedes that have established him as the clear frontrunner. Recent back-to-back victories by Lando Norris in Hungary and the Netherlands have trimmed the deficit to 83 points and highlighted McLaren’s improved pace, yet the gap remains substantial with 11 rounds left. George Russell and Lewis Hamilton sit tied on 183 points, benefiting from Mercedes and Ferrari results but trailing on wins and consistency. Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri remain further back amid Red Bull and McLaren inconsistencies, while lower-placed drivers face even steeper mathematical barriers to challenging the top of the standings.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$201,711,024
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli holds a commanding 59-point lead in the 2026 Drivers’ Championship with 242 points after 12 rounds, built on six wins and consistent podium finishes for Mercedes that have established him as the clear frontrunner. Recent back-to-back victories by Lando Norris in Hungary and the Netherlands have trimmed the deficit to 83 points and highlighted McLaren’s improved pace, yet the gap remains substantial with 11 rounds left. George Russell and Lewis Hamilton sit tied on 183 points, benefiting from Mercedes and Ferrari results but trailing on wins and consistency. Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri remain further back amid Red Bull and McLaren inconsistencies, while lower-placed drivers face even steeper mathematical barriers to challenging the top of the standings.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$201,711,024
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 75%, followed by "Lando Norris" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $201.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lando Norris" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.