Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic enter this ITF M15 Champaign hard-court matchup with closely aligned ATP rankings near 1100-1200, reflecting a competitive early-round encounter between young professionals. Matsuoka, a right-hander with a two-handed backhand, shows mixed 2026 results on hard courts, including recent wins in Japanese ITF events alongside losses in M15 Tokyo. Mesarovic has competed extensively on U.S. hard courts this summer, posting wins at M15 Lakewood but enduring recent setbacks including a retirement in M25 Louisville. Both players' recent form, surface familiarity, and limited head-to-head history shape trader consensus around even implied probabilities, with any late withdrawals or fatigue from the schedule potentially shifting sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated16h 33m 29s
Aug 25·8:00 PM
S. Matsuoka-
M. Mesarovic-
$0.00 Vol.
NEW
This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Shu Matsuoka' if Shu Matsuoka advances against Marko Mesarovic.
This market will resolve to 'Marko Mesarovic' if Marko Mesarovic advances against Shu Matsuoka.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Matsuoka” if Shu Matsuoka wins the first set. It will resolve to “Mesarovic” if Marko Mesarovic wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Matsuoka” if Shu Matsuoka wins set 2. It will resolve to “Mesarovic” if Marko Mesarovic wins set 2.
If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Matsuoka" if Shu Matsuoka wins by 2 or more sets than Marko Mesarovic, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Mesarovic."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Mesarovic and Shu Matsuoka in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Mesarovic" if Marko Mesarovic wins by 2 or more sets than Shu Matsuoka, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Matsuoka."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic enter this ITF M15 Champaign hard-court matchup with closely aligned ATP rankings near 1100-1200, reflecting a competitive early-round encounter between young professionals. Matsuoka, a right-hander with a two-handed backhand, shows mixed 2026 results on hard courts, including recent wins in Japanese ITF events alongside losses in M15 Tokyo. Mesarovic has competed extensively on U.S. hard courts this summer, posting wins at M15 Lakewood but enduring recent setbacks including a retirement in M25 Louisville. Both players' recent form, surface familiarity, and limited head-to-head history shape trader consensus around even implied probabilities, with any late withdrawals or fatigue from the schedule potentially shifting sentiment.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Shu Matsuoka' if Shu Matsuoka advances against Marko Mesarovic.
This market will resolve to 'Marko Mesarovic' if Marko Mesarovic advances against Shu Matsuoka.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Shu Matsuoka' if Shu Matsuoka advances against Marko Mesarovic.
This market will resolve to 'Marko Mesarovic' if Marko Mesarovic advances against Shu Matsuoka.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:14 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/Resolver
0x65070BE91...16h 33m 29s
Aug 25·8:00 PM
S. Matsuoka-
M. Mesarovic-
$0.00 Vol.
NEW
This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Shu Matsuoka' if Shu Matsuoka advances against Marko Mesarovic.
This market will resolve to 'Marko Mesarovic' if Marko Mesarovic advances against Shu Matsuoka.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Matsuoka” if Shu Matsuoka wins the first set. It will resolve to “Mesarovic” if Marko Mesarovic wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Matsuoka” if Shu Matsuoka wins set 2. It will resolve to “Mesarovic” if Marko Mesarovic wins set 2.
If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Matsuoka" if Shu Matsuoka wins by 2 or more sets than Marko Mesarovic, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Mesarovic."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Mesarovic and Shu Matsuoka in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Mesarovic" if Marko Mesarovic wins by 2 or more sets than Shu Matsuoka, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Matsuoka."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic enter this ITF M15 Champaign hard-court matchup with closely aligned ATP rankings near 1100-1200, reflecting a competitive early-round encounter between young professionals. Matsuoka, a right-hander with a two-handed backhand, shows mixed 2026 results on hard courts, including recent wins in Japanese ITF events alongside losses in M15 Tokyo. Mesarovic has competed extensively on U.S. hard courts this summer, posting wins at M15 Lakewood but enduring recent setbacks including a retirement in M25 Louisville. Both players' recent form, surface familiarity, and limited head-to-head history shape trader consensus around even implied probabilities, with any late withdrawals or fatigue from the schedule potentially shifting sentiment.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Shu Matsuoka' if Shu Matsuoka advances against Marko Mesarovic.
This market will resolve to 'Marko Mesarovic' if Marko Mesarovic advances against Shu Matsuoka.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Shu Matsuoka' if Shu Matsuoka advances against Marko Mesarovic.
This market will resolve to 'Marko Mesarovic' if Marko Mesarovic advances against Shu Matsuoka.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:14 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Shu Matsuoka and Marko Mesarovic enter this ITF M15 Champaign hard-court matchup with closely aligned ATP rankings near 1100-1200, reflecting a competitive early-round encounter between young professionals. Matsuoka, a right-hander with a two-handed backhand, shows mixed 2026 results on hard courts, including recent wins in Japanese ITF events alongside losses in M15 Tokyo. Mesarovic has competed extensively on U.S. hard courts this summer, posting wins at M15 Lakewood but enduring recent setbacks including a retirement in M25 Louisville. Both players' recent form, surface familiarity, and limited head-to-head history shape trader consensus around even implied probabilities, with any late withdrawals or fatigue from the schedule potentially shifting sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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