Rafael Jodar, the 19-year-old Spaniard ranked around No. 11-13, enters his first US Open on the back of a breakout 2026 hard-court swing that included a Washington final, Canadian Open semifinal, and deep Cincinnati run despite a late R16 loss to Flavio Cobolli. The right-hander has compiled a strong win rate on the surface with consistent depth and power. Thanasi Kokkinakis, now 30 and ranked No. 412, faces significant physical hurdles after twisting his right ankle in a Cincinnati first-round loss and following major 2025 shoulder surgery involving donor tissue. The Australian’s recent results reflect ongoing injury recovery and limited match play. Traders price Jodar as a clear favorite reflecting the substantial gap in current form, ranking trajectory, and physical readiness on outdoor hard courts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRafael Jodar – Thanasi Kokkinakis
Moneyline
$298 Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Thanasi Kokkinakis.
This market will resolve to 'Thanasi Kokkinakis' if Thanasi Kokkinakis advances against Rafael Jodar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Rafael Jodar – Thanasi Kokkinakis
Moneyline
$298 Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Thanasi Kokkinakis.
This market will resolve to 'Thanasi Kokkinakis' if Thanasi Kokkinakis advances against Rafael Jodar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Rafael Jodar, the 19-year-old Spaniard ranked around No. 11-13, enters his first US Open on the back of a breakout 2026 hard-court swing that included a Washington final, Canadian Open semifinal, and deep Cincinnati run despite a late R16 loss to Flavio Cobolli. The right-hander has compiled a strong win rate on the surface with consistent depth and power. Thanasi Kokkinakis, now 30 and ranked No. 412, faces significant physical hurdles after twisting his right ankle in a Cincinnati first-round loss and following major 2025 shoulder surgery involving donor tissue. The Australian’s recent results reflect ongoing injury recovery and limited match play. Traders price Jodar as a clear favorite reflecting the substantial gap in current form, ranking trajectory, and physical readiness on outdoor hard courts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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