Raphael Collignon enters the 2026 US Open first-round matchup against Sebastian Gorzny as the heavy favorite, holding a career-high ranking near No. 38 with prior Grand Slam success including a 2025 third-round run at Flushing Meadows. The Belgian reached the Gstaad final earlier in July but has struggled on hard courts this summer, posting multiple first-round losses across the North American swing without a win on the surface. Gorzny, a 22-year-old American ranked around No. 760, earned his main-draw wild card by winning the USTA collegiate playoff after a strong senior season at Texas. The college standout has limited professional experience and exited early in recent ATP qualifiers, creating a significant gap in tour-level match play and hard-court seasoning that shapes the current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSebastian Gorzny – Raphael Collignon
Moneyline
$177 Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Raphael Collignon.
This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Sebastian Gorzny.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Sebastian Gorzny – Raphael Collignon
Moneyline
$177 Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Raphael Collignon.
This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Sebastian Gorzny.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Raphael Collignon enters the 2026 US Open first-round matchup against Sebastian Gorzny as the heavy favorite, holding a career-high ranking near No. 38 with prior Grand Slam success including a 2025 third-round run at Flushing Meadows. The Belgian reached the Gstaad final earlier in July but has struggled on hard courts this summer, posting multiple first-round losses across the North American swing without a win on the surface. Gorzny, a 22-year-old American ranked around No. 760, earned his main-draw wild card by winning the USTA collegiate playoff after a strong senior season at Texas. The college standout has limited professional experience and exited early in recent ATP qualifiers, creating a significant gap in tour-level match play and hard-court seasoning that shapes the current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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